Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
76 63 88 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Insufficient record: 1 prediction resolved, 5 needed for a score.
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Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
70 52 87
All types combined: 74 (likely 64 to 84, medium confidence), from 22 claims: 15 factual claims, 7 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
GiveWell's claims
“GiveWell standout charity Dispensers for Safe Water”
GiveWell, unsigned blog post 28 May 2020 GiveWell's plans for 2020 (The GiveWell Blog)
Dispensers for Safe Water is a GiveWell standout charity.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2020-05-28. True: GiveWell's standout charity list in force on that date included Dispensers for Safe Water, either named directly or as Evidence Action's Dispensers for Safe Water program. Mostly true: it was listed under a minor naming variation. Mostly false: it had been a standout charity before that date but had been removed by then. False: it was never a GiveWell standout charity.
Evidence
- Recognitions: The Nobel Prize, Charity Evaluator Rankings, and Expo… Evidence Action · 20 December 2019
“our Dispensers for Safe Water program was ranked a “standout” charity for the third year in a row.”
- 2018 GiveWell Announcement Evidence Action · 26 November 2018
“Dispensers for Safe Water again received recognition as a standout charity.”
- Standout Charities - November 2020 Version GiveWell · November 2020 Own record
“Evidence Action's Dispensers for Safe Water”
- GiveWell Metrics Report – 2020 Annual Review GiveWell Own record
“Dispensers for Safe Water was one of our standout charities, a designation we discontinued in October 2021.”
Reasoning
Evidence Action reported in December 2019 that GiveWell had ranked Dispensers for Safe Water a standout charity for the third year in a row (E1), following a similar announcement in November 2018 (E2). GiveWell's November 2020 standout list still names Evidence Action's Dispensers for Safe Water (E3), and GiveWell's 2020 metrics report says the standout designation was discontinued only in October 2021 (E4). The listing was therefore in force on 2020-05-28 under a name the criteria accept. The May 2020 version of the list itself was not fetched, but the evidence from before and after that date is consistent.
Cite this claim
GiveWell, “Dispensers for Safe Water is a GiveWell standout charity.” (said 28 May 2020). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_a898d1fd5dcd, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_a898d1fd5dcd
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for GiveWell? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.