ClaimsPeople

GiveWell

GiveWell is a US-based nonprofit charity evaluator that researches and recommends high-impact giving opportunities, mainly in global health and poverty reduction.

190 claims collected, 76 researched, 23 resolved. Report of 10 October 2026, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    76 63 88

    Medium confidence, 15 factual claims resolved. From 7 documents, 2010 to 2026; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 13 unresolvable, 25 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    Insufficient record: 1 prediction resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 5 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records. 2 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    70 52 87

    Low confidence, 7 promises resolved. From 3 documents, 2010 to 2022; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 4 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

All types combined: 74 (likely 64 to 84, medium confidence), from 22 claims: 15 factual claims, 7 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

GiveWell's claims

7 claims

7 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Delivered on time Promise 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022. Promise · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Promise 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell will award $20,000 to the first-place entry, $10,000 to the runner-up and $5,000 to the honorable mention in its contest. Promise · 6 Apr 2022 Science and research methods
Mostly false Promise 28 May 2020 GiveWell hopes to conduct in-depth reviews of one to two other charities in 2020, most likely Precision Agriculture for Development and/or Sanku, but may have limited capacity due to COVID-19 work. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Promise 28 May 2020 GiveWell will make additional COVID-19 response grants if it believes they are more cost-effective than the opportunities to which it would otherwise direct funds. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Promise 28 May 2020 In 2020 GiveWell will complete its review of the New Incentives RCT results and decide whether to direct additional funding to New Incentives. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell will examine itself critically over the coming weeks and share its self-review in near real time on its blog. Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell intends to discuss, for each of its self-review questions, its progress since November 2008, where it stands today relative to success, and what it can do to improve. Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
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GiveWell

Open its page

Promise Their own work or organisation

“Winners will be announced by December 15, 2022.”

GiveWell, unsigned organisational page 6 April 2022 GiveWell's Change Our Mind Contest (GiveWell)

GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022.

Delivered on time The record shows it happened or was so.

What would count as true or false

True: GiveWell publicly announced the Change Our Mind contest winners on or before 2022-12-15. Mostly false: winners announced after 2022-12-15, however soon after. False: no announcement by the deadline, shown by a dated later announcement or a GiveWell statement of delay or cancellation. The announcement's date must be verifiable from the publication itself.

Evidence

  1. The winners of the Change Our Mind Contest—and some reflections - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog · 15 December 2022 Own record
    “Today, we’re excited to announce the winners!”
  2. 1 GiveWell (The Clear Fund dba GiveWell) Own record
    “Judging will take place between the end of the Entry Period and December 15, 2022 (the “Judging Period”).”

Reasoning

GiveWell's blog post dated 2022-12-15 [E1] announces the Change Our Mind Contest winners. Its publication date is shown in the post itself and matches the promised deadline. The contest terms [E2] set the judging period to end on December 15, 2022, which is consistent with that timeline. The announcement is the subject's own published output, which the criteria accept as a specific record of delivery.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022.” (said 6 April 2022). Verdict: delivered on time. Reliability API, claim c_5c6042f6791e, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5c6042f6791e

Claims without a verdict

Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for GiveWell? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.