ClaimsPeople

GiveWell

GiveWell is a US-based nonprofit charity evaluator that researches and recommends high-impact giving opportunities, mainly in global health and poverty reduction.

190 claims collected, 76 researched, 23 resolved. Report of 10 October 2026, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    76 63 88

    Medium confidence, 15 factual claims resolved. From 7 documents, 2010 to 2026; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 13 unresolvable, 25 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    Insufficient record: 1 prediction resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 5 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records. 2 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    70 52 87

    Low confidence, 7 promises resolved. From 3 documents, 2010 to 2022; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 4 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

All types combined: 74 (likely 64 to 84, medium confidence), from 22 claims: 15 factual claims, 7 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

GiveWell's claims

1 claim

1 claim, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Prediction 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity. Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
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GiveWell

Open its page

Prediction Their own work or organisation

“Due to limited research capacity, we likely won't be able to share a full response to all entries; it's time-consuming for us to write thorough responses, and we aren't sure how many entries we will receive.”

GiveWell, unsigned organisational page 6 April 2022 GiveWell's Change Our Mind Contest (GiveWell)

GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

True: after the contest, GiveWell did not publish a full response to every entry. Responses given only to the winners or to selected entries count, provided the published record shows that some entries got no full response. Mostly true: most entries got no full response, but GiveWell published brief notes or summaries for many of them. Mostly false: GiveWell published full responses to nearly all entries. False: a full response was published for every entry.

Evidence

  1. The winners of the Change Our Mind Contest—and some reflections - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog · 15 December 2022 Own record
    “Winners are listed below, followed by our reflections on this contest and responses to the winners.”
  2. The winners of the Change Our Mind Contest—and some reflections - The GiveWell Blog GiveWell Blog · 15 December 2022 Own record
    “In order to manage all the suggestions we received, one of our researchers reviewed all 49 entries and created a dashboard for tracking the 100 discrete suggestions we identified.”
  3. Footnotes for “Research Strategy: Cross-Cutting” GiveWell · 6 April 2022 Own record
    “See here, here, and here for responses that we made to criticisms of GiveWell that we received as part of our 2022 Change Our Mind Contest, in which we invited critiques of our cost-effectiveness analyses and awarded cash prizes to the best entries.”
  4. Evaluations of GiveWell GiveWell · December 2025 Own record
    “More recently, we commissioned a report from an iron and anemia expert to inform our view on concerns raised by an entry to our Change Our Mind Contest.”

Reasoning

GiveWell's December 2022 results post says it gives responses to the winners (E1) and notes that it reviewed all 49 entries internally, while the 39 participation-prize entries are not individually listed (E2). This published record indicates that most entries received no full public response. Other material points to selective follow-up, such as three linked responses and one commissioned expert report on a single entry (E3, E4). All sources are GiveWell's own, but the claim concerns what GiveWell itself published, so its published record is the relevant evidence.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity.” (said 6 April 2022). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_24fee933f79c, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_24fee933f79c

Claims without a verdict

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