ClaimsPeople

GiveWell

GiveWell is a US-based nonprofit charity evaluator that researches and recommends high-impact giving opportunities, mainly in global health and poverty reduction.

190 claims collected, 76 researched, 23 resolved. Report of 10 October 2026, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    76 63 88

    Medium confidence, 15 factual claims resolved. From 7 documents, 2010 to 2026; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 13 unresolvable, 25 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    Insufficient record: 1 prediction resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 5 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records. 2 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    70 52 87

    Low confidence, 7 promises resolved. From 3 documents, 2010 to 2022; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 4 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

All types combined: 74 (likely 64 to 84, medium confidence), from 22 claims: 15 factual claims, 7 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

GiveWell's claims

23 claims

23 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly true Factual 30 Sep 2026 GiveWell's Cross-Cutting research subteam investigates the impact of funded programs, works to resolve the largest uncertainties, and strengthens data collection and analysis. Factual · 30 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 30 Sep 2026 GiveWell's 2025 fundraising of $616 million was its largest fundraising year to date. Factual · 30 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 30 Sep 2026 More than four million children under five die each year in low- and middle-income countries, and most of those deaths are preventable. Factual · 30 Sep 2026 Biosecurity
Resolved true Factual 31 Aug 2026 GiveWell responded in 2025 to urgent needs generated by foreign aid cuts. Factual · 31 Aug 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 31 Aug 2026 Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) in 2025 went to GiveWell's four Top Charities. Factual · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 31 Aug 2026 In 2025 GiveWell directed around $427 million to high-impact programs and organizations, an 8% increase in funds directed compared to 2024. Factual · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Prediction 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell likely will not be able to share a full response to all contest entries, due to limited research capacity. Prediction · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Delivered on time Promise 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell will announce contest winners by December 15, 2022. Promise · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved false Factual 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell is launching a contest for critiques of its cost-effectiveness analyses. Factual · 6 Apr 2022 Science and research methods
Mostly true Factual 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell makes its cost-effectiveness analyses publicly available. Factual · 6 Apr 2022 Science and research methods
Delivered on time Promise 6 Apr 2022 GiveWell will award $20,000 to the first-place entry, $10,000 to the runner-up and $5,000 to the honorable mention in its contest. Promise · 6 Apr 2022 Science and research methods
Mostly true Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell shares its plans for the year each spring. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly false Promise 28 May 2020 GiveWell hopes to conduct in-depth reviews of one to two other charities in 2020, most likely Precision Agriculture for Development and/or Sanku, but may have limited capacity due to COVID-19 work. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Promise 28 May 2020 GiveWell will make additional COVID-19 response grants if it believes they are more cost-effective than the opportunities to which it would otherwise direct funds. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 May 2020 As of 28 May 2020, GiveWell had made three grants for COVID-19 mitigation. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 28 May 2020 Dispensers for Safe Water is a GiveWell standout charity. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Promise 28 May 2020 In 2020 GiveWell will complete its review of the New Incentives RCT results and decide whether to direct additional funding to New Incentives. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 2018 In 2016 GiveWell saw growth in the number of donors and amount donated in every donor size category reviewed, except donors giving $1 million or more per year. Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 2015 In 2014, GiveWell tracked $27.8 million in money moved to its recommended charities. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 2015 In 2014, GiveWell recommended and Good Ventures made two grants: $250,000 to Evidence Action and about $34,000 to IDinsight. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell last laid out a business plan in November 2008. Factual · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell will examine itself critically over the coming weeks and share its self-review in near real time on its blog. Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Promise 7 Jan 2010 GiveWell intends to discuss, for each of its self-review questions, its progress since November 2008, where it stands today relative to success, and what it can do to improve. Promise · 7 Jan 2010 Their own work or organisation
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GiveWell

Open its page

Factual Their own work or organisation

“Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) went to our four Top Charities”

GiveWell 31 August 2026 GiveWell's 2025 Metrics and Impact (The GiveWell Blog)

Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) in 2025 went to GiveWell's four Top Charities.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.

What would count as true or false

True: GiveWell's 2025 funds-directed data shows roughly $115–$133 million, about 27–31% of the total, going to its four Top Charities. Mostly true: the amount or the percentage is slightly outside those ranges, or the number of Top Charities differs slightly. Mixed: one of the two figures matches and the other is clearly off. Mostly false: both figures are off by 15–40%. False: both are off by more than that.

Evidence

  1. Metrics Report 2025 - files.givewell.org GiveWell · 10 September 2026 Own record
    “$303 million (71% of funds directed) was allocated to programs other than our Top Charities programs.”
  2. Metrics Report 2025 - files.givewell.org GiveWell · 10 September 2026 Own record
    “Our Top Charities Fund supports our four Top Charities programs.”
  3. Metrics Report 2025 - files.givewell.org GiveWell · 10 September 2026 Own record
    “This funds directed total includes both GiveWell grantmaking and donations made to our Top Charities on the basis of our recommendation.”

Reasoning

The resolution criteria rest on GiveWell's own 2025 funds-directed data, and GiveWell's 2025 Metrics Report states that $303 million (71% of funds directed) went to programs other than its Top Charities (E1). That implies a total of about $427 million, with roughly 29% (about $124 million) going to Top Charities. The report also says the Top Charities Fund supports four Top Charities programs (E2) and defines the funds-directed total (E3). These are the subject's own figures, and no independent verification was provided, but they are the data source the criteria name and they match the claimed amount, percentage and count.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “Around $124 million (29% of funds directed) in 2025 went to GiveWell's four Top Charities.” (said 31 August 2026). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_6d9d07d4c83c, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_6d9d07d4c83c

Claims without a verdict

Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for GiveWell? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.