ClaimsJeremy Grantham

“So we are probably in for an extended period of mispricing, usually in favor of the trendy assets, but with reactions that will sometimes likely be dramatic.”

Jeremy Grantham, GMO letter author April 2007 The First Truly Global Bubble (It's Everywhere, In Everything) (GMO)

Prediction Economics and markets

Markets are probably in for an extended period of mispricing, usually favoring trendy assets, with sometimes dramatic reactions.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Vague 'extended period of mispricing' with no measurable criteria.

Cite this claim

Jeremy Grantham, “Markets are probably in for an extended period of mispricing, usually favoring trendy assets, with sometimes dramatic reactions.” (said April 2007). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_eed324c08e99, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_eed324c08e99

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Jeremy Grantham, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Jeremy Grantham

  1. Resolved false Prediction January 2023
    “we can conclude that the final low for this market might be well into 2024.”

    The final low of this bear market might come well into 2024.

  2. Mixed Prediction January 2023
    “near certainty it was a year ago, is much more likely than not.”

    A continued market decline of at least substantial proportions is much more likely than not.

  3. Mostly false Prediction January 2023
    “after a bloodbath is not unusual and may very well not outlive January.”

    The January 2023 rally may well not outlive January.

  4. Mostly true Prediction January 2023
    “may help to support the market for a few more months.”

    The Presidential Cycle's positive influence may help support the market for a few more months.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 31 August 2022
    “Each cycle is different and unique—but every historical parallel suggests that the worst is yet to come.”

    Grantham says historical parallels suggest the worst of the current market downturn is still to come.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.