Developed countries will be lucky to reach 2% annual growth over the roughly seven years from 2009.

The test is average annual real GDP growth of developed (advanced) economies over roughly 2009–2016, as reported by the IMF World Economic Outlook advanced-economies aggregate or the OECD total. 'Lucky to reach 2%' means growth averages about 2% or less. True: the average annual growth over the period is 2.0% or below. Mostly true: it is just above 2%, up to about 2.2%. Mixed: the result depends on the choice of start year (e.g. whether 2009 is included) or aggregate, with one reasonable basis below 2% and another above it. Mostly false: the average is between about 2.2% and 2.5%. False: the average is above 2.5%.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2016 Issue 1 OECD (mirror hosted at oecd.github.io)

   “Global growth has languished over the past eight years as OECD economies have struggled to average only 2 per cent per year, and emerging markets have slowed, with some falling into deep recession.”

2. E2 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2016 Issue 1 OECD (mirror hosted at oecd.github.io)

   “OECD GDP growth is projected to be just under 2% on average over 2016-17, broadly in line with outcomes in the previous two years”

E1, the OECD's 2016 Economic Outlook, says OECD economies "struggled to average only 2 per cent per year" over the previous eight years, which puts the period's average at about 2%. That eight-year window (roughly 2008–2015) is close to, but not the same as, the 2009–2016 period the criteria name. E2 projects OECD growth of just under 2% on average over 2016–17, which it describes as broadly in line with outcomes in the previous two years, so adding 2016 would likely not push the average much above 2%. Together, the sources point to growth averaging about 2%, in line with the prediction. Because the window doesn't match exactly and the figures are approximate, the verdict is mostly true rather than true.