U.S. fracking oil will soon run off, revealing rising costs of finding ever-diminishing new oil pools.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
'Soon' is undefined, and the claim bundles vague outcomes with no horizon.
Cite this claim
Jeremy Grantham, “U.S. fracking oil will soon run off, revealing rising costs of finding ever-diminishing new oil pools.” (said January 2016). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_10dd65a2ca99, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_10dd65a2ca99
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Jeremy Grantham
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Resolved false
“we can conclude that the final low for this market might be well into 2024.”
The final low of this bear market might come well into 2024.
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Mixed
“near certainty it was a year ago, is much more likely than not.”
A continued market decline of at least substantial proportions is much more likely than not.
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Mostly false
“after a bloodbath is not unusual and may very well not outlive January.”
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Mostly true
“may help to support the market for a few more months.”
The Presidential Cycle's positive influence may help support the market for a few more months.
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Resolved true
“Each cycle is different and unique—but every historical parallel suggests that the worst is yet to come.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.