Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 73 93 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
46 27 65 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
60 40 79
All types combined: 70 (likely 61 to 78, medium confidence), from 29 claims: 16 factual claims, 7 predictions, 6 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Ørsted's claims
“Net investments for 2014-2015 are expected to be around DKK 30 billion.”
DONG Energy (Ørsted), company announcement February 2014 Announcement of financial results for 2013 - Improved earnings and strengthened capital base (Ørsted (DONG Energy))
DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion.
Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.
What would count as true or false
Judge on actual reported net investments for 2014 plus 2015 combined. True if the total is within roughly ±10% of DKK 30bn (about DKK 27–33bn). Mostly true if within ±15% (about DKK 25.5–34.5bn). Mixed if within ±25%. Mostly false if within ±40%. False if further from DKK 30bn than that.
Evidence
- [PDF] FINANCIAL REPORT FULL YEAR 2015 DONG Energy (Ørsted) investor presentation · 4 February 2016 Own record
“Gross investments-18,693-15,359Net investments-16,120-4,706”
- UK Interim Financial Report 9M 2015 - v7 DONG Energy (Ørsted) interim financial report · 29 October 2015 Own record
“Net investments of around DKK 35-40 billion are expected for the period 2015-2016”
Reasoning
The FY 2015 financial report [E1] lists net investments of DKK 4,706m for 2014 and DKK 16,120m for 2015, shown as negative cash-flow figures, for a combined total of about DKK 20.8bn. That is roughly 31% below the predicted DKK 30bn, inside the ±40% band and outside the ±25% band, which the criteria rate mostly false. E2 gives an outlook for a different period (2015-2016) and does not change the 2014-2015 total.
Cite this claim
Ørsted, “DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion.” (said February 2014). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_f400fce1031c, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f400fce1031c
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Ørsted? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.