Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
84 73 93 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
46 27 65 -
Promises
Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?
60 40 79
All types combined: 70 (likely 61 to 78, medium confidence), from 29 claims: 16 factual claims, 7 predictions, 6 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Ørsted's claims
8 claims
“The increase was primarily driven by earnings from the construction agreement for Hornsea 3.”
Ørsted 13 August 2026 Ørsted continues its strategic progress, delivers solid operational performance, and is on track to deliver on its 2026 financial guidance (Ørsted)
Ørsted's Q2 2026 offshore EBITDA increase (DKK 4.4 billion vs DKK 4.0 billion) was primarily driven by earnings from the Hornsea 3 construction agreement.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
What would count as true or false
True if Ørsted's Q2 2026 interim report shows offshore EBITDA of about DKK 4.4bn vs DKK 4.0bn in Q2 2025 and attributes the increase primarily (largest single driver) to Hornsea 3 construction agreement earnings, and the segment breakdown supports that this item outweighs other drivers. Mostly true if figures differ slightly (≤0.1bn) but attribution holds. Mixed if Hornsea 3 construction agreement earnings were a significant but not the primary driver. Mostly false if they contributed only marginally. False if the increase is attributed mainly to other factors or the EBITDA did not increase.
Evidence
- [PDF] Investor presentation - Via Ritzau Ørsted (Q2 2026 investor presentation, hosted by Via Ritzau) · 22 August 2026 Own record
“Offshore site earnings development driven by: • Higher wind speeds and higher power and ROC prices • Lower contribution from trading activities and planned maintenance outage at Hornsea 1 Existing partnership earnings increase from the construction agreements related to Hornsea 3 and updates to construction agreements”
- HCA Red Flag: Ørsted delivers the DKK 5.4 billion expected by the market (AI) - Inderes Inderes (HCA / HC Andersen Capital AI-generated research comment) · 13 August 2026
“The group's growth instead came from construction revenue from Hornsea 3, the British offshore wind farm where Ørsted has sold half, which contributed DKK 0.5 billion.”
- Interim financial report H1 2026.pub Ørsted · 20 August 2026 Own record
“Earnings from our offshore sites amounted to DKK 13.0 billion, an increase of 5 % compared to H1 2025, primarily driven by higher wind speeds.”
Reasoning
E2, an independent analyst comment on the Q2 report, says earnings from offshore wind farms in operation fell from DKK 4,814 million to DKK 4,653 million, while Hornsea 3 construction revenue contributed DKK 0.5 billion to growth. That would make Hornsea 3 the largest single driver of a roughly DKK 0.4 billion increase. Ørsted's own Q2 bridge (E1) also attributes the partnership earnings increase to the Hornsea 3 construction agreements, along with updates to construction agreements. The exact DKK 4.4bn vs 4.0bn segment figures are not directly confirmed in the evidence, and E3 covers H1 rather than Q2, so the verdict is mostly true rather than true.
Cite this claim
Ørsted, “Ørsted's Q2 2026 offshore EBITDA increase (DKK 4.4 billion vs DKK 4.0 billion) was primarily driven by earnings from the Hornsea 3 construction agreement.” (said 13 August 2026). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_bcbd4508e568, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_bcbd4508e568
Claims without a verdict
Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Ørsted? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.