Both Boeing and SpaceX will eventually achieve crewed capsule flight.

'Crewed capsule flight' means an orbital flight with astronauts aboard Boeing's CST-100 Starliner and SpaceX's Crew Dragon respectively. A crewed launch to orbit counts even if the capsule later came back without crew. True: both Starliner and Crew Dragon have flown with crew to orbit as of the evaluation date. Mostly true: does not apply. Mixed: does not apply. Mostly false: only one of the two companies has flown crew in its capsule. False: neither has.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 Demo-2 Launch: Setting Forth on a Historic Journey - NASA NASA · 30 May 2020

   “with NASA astronauts Robert Behnken and Douglas Hurley onboard, at 3:22 p.m. EDT on Saturday, May 30, 2020, at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida.”

2. E2 LIFTOFF! NASA Astronauts Pilot First Starliner Crewed Test to Station - NASA NASA · 5 June 2024

   “NASA astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams are safely in orbit on the first crewed flight test aboard Boeing’s Starliner spacecraft bound for the International Space Station.”

3. E3 Boeing Starliner Spacecraft Completes Successful Launch PRNewswire (Boeing press release) · 5 June 2024

   “became the first people to launch to orbit inside a Boeing [NYSE: BA] Starliner, lifting off from the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at 10:52am ET”

4. E4 Next Crewed Boeing Starliner Flight Not Until 2028 SpacePolicyOnline · 28 September 2026

   “By contrast, Starliner has delivered only one crew to the ISS, Butch and Suni, on the 2024 Crew Flight Test (CFT).”

The evidence shows that astronauts flew to orbit aboard Boeing's Starliner in 2024 [E2][E3][E4]. No evidence item names SpaceX or Crew Dragon: E1 describes only a crewed 'Demo-2' launch. So the evidence does not establish that both capsules have flown crew, which the criteria require.