The European Union will not collapse by 2023.

Judged as of 2023-12-31. True: the European Union still existed as a functioning union at the end of 2023, with its core institutions (Commission, Parliament, Council, single market) still operating and most member states still in it. False: by then the EU had dissolved, or a majority of members had left, or its core institutions had stopped working. Brexit or another single member leaving does not count as collapse. Mostly false: only if the EU had started a formal process of dissolution or mass departures that was not yet complete.

Set before the research began.

1. E1 THE EU IN 2023 Publications Office of the European Union (EU General Report 2023) · 6 October 2023

   “In 2023, the European Union’s institutions and bodies worked closely together to address the common interests of the EU and deliver results for its citizens.”

2. E2 THE EU IN 2023 Publications Office of the European Union (EU General Report 2023) · 6 October 2023

   “In principle, the European Commission proposes new laws, and the European Parliament and the Council of the European Union, as co-legislators, adopt them.”

3. E3 THE EU IN 2023 Publications Office of the European Union (EU General Report 2023) · 6 October 2023

   “the Commission opened more than 500 new infringement procedures in 2023, either because Member States had failed to transpose EU directives into national law on time”

4. E4 Member of the EU Riksdag (Swedish Parliament) · 25 August 2023

   “Today, 27 European countries are members of the EU.”

The EU General Report 2023 says the EU's institutions worked together during 2023 (E1). It describes the Commission proposing laws and the Parliament and Council adopting them as co-legislators (E2). It also reports the Commission opening more than 500 infringement procedures against member states in 2023 (E3). The Swedish Riksdag stated in August 2023 that 27 countries are EU members (E4). These sources are dated before 31 December 2023 and show no move toward dissolution, so the union was still functioning with its core institutions working and its membership intact, which meets the criteria for true.