ClaimsScott Alexander

“Cryptocurrency will neither collapse nor take over everything.”

Scott Alexander, blog author 15 February 2018 Five More Years (Slate Star Codex) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Cryptocurrency will neither collapse nor take over everything by 2023.

Research failed Research could not run for this claim; not scored.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

no triage answer returned

Cite this claim

Scott Alexander, “Cryptocurrency will neither collapse nor take over everything by 2023.” (said 15 February 2018). Verdict: research failed. Reliability API, claim c_4d7ea80900d1, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4d7ea80900d1

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More prediction claims by Scott Alexander

  1. Mostly false Prediction 15 February 2018
    “First World economies will increasingly be marked by an Officialness Divide.”

    First World economies will increasingly be marked by an Officialness Divide between formal institutions for the rich and informal gig economies for the poor.

  2. Resolved false Prediction January 2018
    “Bitcoin is higher than $10,000 at end of year: 80%”

    Scott Alexander gave an 80% probability that Bitcoin would be priced above $10,000 at the end of 2018.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 6 January 2017
    “Bitcoin will end the year higher than $1000: 60%”

    Bitcoin will end 2017 higher than $1000.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 25 January 2016
    “Bitcoin will end the year higher than $500: 80%”

    The subject gave an 80% probability that Bitcoin would end 2016 higher than $500.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 25 January 2016
    “Dow Jones will not fall > 10% this year: 70%”

    The Dow Jones will not fall more than 10% in 2016.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.