| Mostly true |
Factual |
18 Jun 2026 |
On 18 June 2026 Donald Trump signed an agreement with Iran at Versailles.
Factual · 18 Jun 2026 |
Other |
| Mixed |
Factual |
29 Apr 2026 |
The Trump administration's DOJ has said that Jan 6th rioters who threatened to hang Mike Pence should be pardoned.
Factual · 29 Apr 2026 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
29 Apr 2026 |
The Trump administration's DOJ says James Comey should be prosecuted over a photograph of sea shells spelling "8647".
Factual · 29 Apr 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
12 Apr 2026 |
JD Vance campaigned for Viktor Orban in the Hungarian elections the week before 12 April 2026, and Orban lost the election.
Factual · 12 Apr 2026 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
12 Apr 2026 |
A Putin ally suffered a major defeat in the election after 16 years in power.
Factual · 12 Apr 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2026 |
When Brooks predicted in 2018 that something big would appear in AI, he did not know it would be LLMs.
Factual · 1 Jan 2026 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2026 |
Since 1991 Brooks has distinguished between situatedness and embodiment as two separate properties a machine or creature can have.
Factual · 1 Jan 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly false |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2026 |
The Artemis II crewed lunar flyby looks on track to fly in February 2026.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2026 |
Blue Origin is under contract with NASA to land two astronauts on the Moon for a 30-day stay in 2030 using Blue Moon Mark 2.
Factual · 1 Jan 2026 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2026 |
Once pick orientation and vacuum gripper are selected, suction grasping is open loop, relying on suction force and compliance of gripper and object.
Factual · 1 Jan 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2025 |
Zoox has purpose-built vehicles with no steering wheel or brake and accelerator pedals.
Factual · 1 Jan 2025 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2025 |
Boeing's Starliner did not bring its crew back from space as expected.
Factual · 1 Jan 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2025 |
Despite further thruster anomalies, Starliner would have landed safely had the crew been aboard when it returned empty in 2024.
Factual · 1 Jan 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2025 |
Rodney Brooks wrote on 2025-01-01 that New Glenn's launch seemed imminent.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2025 |
Both billionaire founders of the two suborbital tourism companies have flown to space on their own craft.
Factual · 1 Jan 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2025 |
In the 2017 'Attention Is All You Need' transformer architecture, each column from bottom to top is a pure feed-forward network with no search, iteration or conventional algorithm.
Factual · 1 Jan 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Mixed |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
In the early days of robots for hospitals, hotels and managed care facilities, Wi-Fi first had to be installed in buildings so the robots could know what to do next.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly false |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
Standard-sized bolts are two to three orders of magnitude cheaper than custom-sized bolts because of their enormous supply chain.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The term "machine learning" first appeared in 1959 in a paper on checkers by Arthur Samuel.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Science and research methods |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The web has provided massive amounts of text for machine learning, which has given rise to LLMs.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
The Roomba did not require customers to install any infrastructure before use; it needed only a standard electrical outlet for its charger.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
Images and movies from the web, and others collected for the purpose, have required human labeling for machine learning.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
29 Sep 2024 |
iRobot reached sales or production of millions of robots per year.
Factual · 29 Sep 2024 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2024 |
Brooks has spent his whole professional life developing robots, and his companies have built more robots than anyone else's.
Factual · 1 Jan 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2024 |
Brooks bought his first electric car in 2023.
Factual · 1 Jan 2024 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2024 |
By March 2023 it was clear that large language models were the next big thing in AI.
Factual · 1 Jan 2024 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2024 |
In late 2022 Brooks analysed the lack of videos showing any practical-looking flights of any eVTOL vehicle, despite multi-billion dollar company valuations.
Factual · 1 Jan 2024 |
Technology |
| Resolved false |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2024 |
After its first crewed test flight in April 2024, Boeing's Starliner is expected to fly with a crew once a year.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2024 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
21 Oct 2023 |
Brooks said he has reported on particular autonomous vehicle rides, his or others', when he thought the vehicles had done something for which a human driver would somehow be sanctioned.
Factual · 21 Oct 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
21 Oct 2023 |
In summer 1979 Rodney Brooks worked as Hans Moravec's assistant at the Stanford AI Lab, helping test Moravec's self-driving Cart for his PhD thesis.
Factual · 21 Oct 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mixed |
Factual |
21 Oct 2023 |
The warehouse mobile robots built by Brooks's current startup are safe in the presence of humans.
Factual · 21 Oct 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
21 Oct 2023 |
Rodney Brooks made predictions about autonomous vehicles, AI and space on 1 January 2018 and has reviewed them every 1 January since.
Factual · 21 Oct 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
24 Jun 2023 |
Rodney Brooks gave a keynote at CVPR 2023 on Tuesday 20 June 2023.
Factual · 24 Jun 2023 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
22 Jun 2023 |
The San Francisco fire chief is unhappy with driverless vehicles in the city.
Factual · 22 Jun 2023 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
7 Jun 2023 |
Rodney Brooks has taken many fully driverless Cruise rides at night in San Francisco.
Factual · 7 Jun 2023 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
24 May 2023 |
Brooks described hundreds of driverless cars with no humans inside as driving around San Francisco 'aimlessly' 24 hours a day.
Factual · 24 May 2023 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
18 Apr 2023 |
Yejin Choi gave a "common sense" rebuttal on the TED stage in April 2023.
Factual · 18 Apr 2023 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2023 |
If US electric vehicle sales keep growing at 68% per year, electric cars would be 28% of new US car sales in 2025.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2023 |
Economics and markets |
| Mostly true |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2023 |
Brooks said he was concerned that Starship would not be ready for the proposed 2025 crewed lunar landing, and that this would delay humankind's return to the Moon.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2023 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2023 |
NASA's current plan is for Artemis 2 to take astronauts to lunar orbit in May 2024, followed by Artemis 3 landing two astronauts on the Moon in 2025.
Factual · 1 Jan 2023 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2023 |
As of January 2023 Brooks believed the number of Tesla robo-taxis on the road was still zero.
Factual · 1 Jan 2023 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2023 |
In essence, ChatGPT picks the most likely next word given the preceding words, whether from the user's prompt or its own generated output.
Factual · 1 Jan 2023 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
22 Sep 2020 |
In 1962 Leonard Bernstein introduced a seven-year-old immigrant to a Democratic president and an immediate past Republican president.
Factual · 22 Sep 2020 |
Other |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
17 Aug 2020 |
Cory Doctorow thinks autonomous vehicles are bad science fiction.
Factual · 17 Aug 2020 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
14 Aug 2020 |
Rodney Brooks has said for years that adoption of autonomous vehicles will require changes to road infrastructure.
Factual · 14 Aug 2020 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Prediction |
9 Jul 2020 |
There will be no level 5 autonomous cars on roads in 2020.
Prediction · 9 Jul 2020 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2020 |
Starliner launched on December 20, 2019 and reached orbit, but due to software failures it was in the wrong orbit and lacked fuel to reach the ISS.
Factual · 1 Jan 2020 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2020 |
During 2019 Waymo started operating what Brooks called a 'taxi service' in Chandler, Arizona, with no human driver in the vehicles.
Factual · 1 Jan 2020 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2020 |
Neither Boeing nor SpaceX achieved crewed capsule flight in 2019, after major failures with their systems.
Factual · 1 Jan 2020 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2020 |
On 20 April 2019 a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule exploded during a ground test.
Factual · 1 Jan 2020 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2020 |
The December 2019 Starliner flight was meant to be the final unmanned test, planned to dock with the ISS and then soft-land on the ground.
Factual · 1 Jan 2020 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
20 Aug 2019 |
Human drivers perform the three-point turns that turn the vehicles around at the end of the route each time.
Factual · 20 Aug 2019 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
20 Aug 2019 |
Human drivers also operate the turn signals on the vehicles.
Factual · 20 Aug 2019 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
19 Jul 2019 |
Patrick Winston of MIT has died (reported 2019-07-19).
Factual · 19 Jul 2019 |
Field building and careers |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2019 |
Around 2017, autonomous vehicle promises were made for deployment during 2019 through 2022.
Factual · 15 Jul 2019 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
13 Jul 2019 |
Fernando Corbato developed Multics, which led to Unix, which led to Linux.
Factual · 13 Jul 2019 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
13 Jul 2019 |
Fernando Corbato of MIT has died (reported 2019-07-13).
Factual · 13 Jul 2019 |
Field building and careers |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
19 Mar 2019 |
Computer architects are building special-purpose chips for runtime use of trained neural networks to compensate for power and performance limits.
Factual · 19 Mar 2019 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Mar 2019 |
The push to make everything learnable is raising the cost of AI beyond what individuals or even large university departments can afford.
Factual · 19 Mar 2019 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
19 Mar 2019 |
Moore's Law is slowing, and some computer architects report the doubling time of computation on a single chip moving from one year to twenty years.
Factual · 19 Mar 2019 |
AI compute, hardware and data |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
19 Mar 2019 |
Today's machine learning data sets can contain billions of examples, whereas a human may need only a handful to learn the same thing.
Factual · 19 Mar 2019 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2018 |
Training an image-recognition neural network typically involves showing it millions of labelled images with known ground truth.
Factual · 15 Jul 2018 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2018 |
Computer vision, even 3-D vision, is not completely accurate.
Factual · 15 Jul 2018 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2018 |
The goal of artificial general intelligence is not new: Brooks's 1990 paper Elephants Don't Play Chess already named general purpose human level intelligence as the holy grail of AI research.
Factual · 15 Jul 2018 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2018 |
Kim's research team made their legged robot completely blind to show what its low-level reactive behaviours could do.
Factual · 15 Jul 2018 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2018 |
Gravitational waves, predicted by Einstein in 1916, were first detected in 2015, ninety-nine years later.
Factual · 15 Jul 2018 |
Science and research methods |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
15 Jul 2018 |
In 1977 Rodney Brooks joined the Hand-Eye group at the Stanford AI Laboratory, working on vision for his PhD.
Factual · 15 Jul 2018 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
Academic rumblings about the limits of Deep Learning are already happening as of 2018.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
AI capabilities |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
As of the end of 2017, IPv6 adoption was far from complete, with network traffic categories on IPv6 ranging from under 2% to just over 20%.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2018 |
Claims before 2023 to be the next big thing in AI beyond deep learning will not pan out.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2018 |
AI capabilities |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
Horseless carriages did not simply replace horse-drawn carriages one for one but required new infrastructure and ownership and usage models.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
Rodney Brooks previously identified underestimating adoption time of new technologies as the seventh of seven deadly sins of predicting the future of AI.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
In the months before January 2018, Rodney Brooks publicly criticised what he considers hype around AI and machine learning.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
Rodney Brooks has worked in both Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for over forty years.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Resolved true |
Prediction |
1 Jan 2018 |
Two paying customers will not go on a loop around the Moon on a Falcon Heavy in the 4th quarter of 2018.
Prediction · 1 Jan 2018 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
1 Jan 2018 |
In the movie "I, Robot" a robot rescued the Will Smith character after a car accident at the expense of letting a young girl die, a key plot aspect.
Factual · 1 Jan 2018 |
Other |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
7 Sep 2017 |
AI was overestimated in the 1960s and the 1980s, and Brooks believes it is being overestimated again in 2017.
Factual · 7 Sep 2017 |
AI timelines and forecasting |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
7 Sep 2017 |
Hardware has a significant marginal cost to deploy.
Factual · 7 Sep 2017 |
Technology |
| Mixed |
Factual |
7 Sep 2017 |
In July 1995 a CMU minivan, with no hands on the wheel or feet on pedals, drove coast to coast across the US on public roads.
Factual · 7 Sep 2017 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
12 Jan 2017 |
At least one car manufacturer fears human drivers will bully level 2 self-driving cars, so its level 3 real-world trial cars look identical to conventional models.
Factual · 12 Jan 2017 |
Technology |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
12 Jan 2017 |
In level 2 and 3 autonomy, the time available for a person to reorient and respond is often much shorter than people need.
Factual · 12 Jan 2017 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
12 Jan 2017 |
Gill Pratt, CEO of Toyota Research Institute, said in early January 2017 that none in the automobile or IT industries are close to achieving true Level 5 autonomy.
Factual · 12 Jan 2017 |
Technology |
| Resolved true |
Factual |
12 Jan 2017 |
In Asimov's book the Three Laws of Robotics were used as a plot source, with ambiguities and conflicts between the laws driving plot twists.
Factual · 12 Jan 2017 |
Philosophy, ethics and society |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
12 Jan 2017 |
Many groups, including Tesla, have promoted the advantage of cars autonomously handling parking.
Factual · 12 Jan 2017 |
Technology |
| Delivered on time |
Promise |
16 Dec 2014 |
Starting in 2015, Rethink Robotics will provide APIs allowing developers to improve Baxter.
Promise · 16 Dec 2014 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
16 Dec 2014 |
Labour costs were rising and the era of infinitely cheap labour was coming to an end.
Factual · 16 Dec 2014 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
16 Dec 2014 |
Brooks first presented his 1986 layered-architecture work in France.
Factual · 16 Dec 2014 |
Their own work or organisation |
| Mostly true |
Factual |
16 Dec 2014 |
The first industrial robots were installed in 1961, when a computer filled an entire room.
Factual · 16 Dec 2014 |
Technology |