ClaimsPeople

Rodney Brooks

Rodney Brooks is a roboticist, MIT professor emeritus, and co-founder of iRobot, Rethink Robotics and Robust.AI.

1,166 claims collected, 291 researched, 88 resolved. Report of 5 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    83 77 88

    High confidence, 79 factual claims resolved. From 17 documents, 2014 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 35 candidates found.

    Not scored: 31 unresolvable, 17 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    67 49 83

    Low confidence, 8 predictions resolved. From 6 documents, 2018 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 35 candidates found.

    Not scored: 91 unresolvable. 60 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    Insufficient record: 1 promise resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 3 not yet due.

    See the promises

All types combined: 81 (likely 76 to 86, high confidence), from 87 claims: 79 factual claims, 8 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Rodney Brooks's claims

2 claims

2 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Mostly false Prediction 1 Jan 2026 The Artemis II crewed lunar flyby looks on track to fly in February 2026. Prediction · 1 Jan 2026 Other
Mostly false Factual 29 Sep 2024 Standard-sized bolts are two to three orders of magnitude cheaper than custom-sized bolts because of their enormous supply chain. Factual · 29 Sep 2024 Economics and markets
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Rodney Brooks

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Prediction Other

“Things at this stage are looking good for Artemis to fly in February 2026.”

Rodney Brooks, blog author 1 January 2026 Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01 (rodneybrooks.com)

The Artemis II crewed lunar flyby looks on track to fly in February 2026.

Mostly false False in substance, right in a detail.

What would count as true or false

True: Artemis II (the crewed lunar flyby) launched on or before 2026-02-28. A launch earlier than February counts. Mostly true: does not apply, since this is a single dated outcome. Mostly false: Artemis II launched between 2026-03-01 and 2026-04-30. False: Artemis II launched after 2026-04-30, or dated NASA statements show it had not launched by then.

Evidence

  1. Artemis II Mission Milestones: An Image and Video Recap - NASA NASA · 21 April 2026
    “On April 1, 2026, Artemis II launched on a nearly 10-day voyage around the Moon, marking the first crewed flight of NASA’s Orion spacecraft.”

Reasoning

NASA's mission recap (E1) says Artemis II launched on April 1, 2026, which is after the 2026-02-28 deadline. The criteria set out a "mostly false" band for a launch between 2026-03-01 and 2026-04-30, and April 1 falls inside it. Artemis II launched on April 1, 2026 [E1], so the assessment that things were looking good for Artemis to fly in February 2026 resolves mostly false under the criteria.

Cite this claim

Rodney Brooks, “The Artemis II crewed lunar flyby looks on track to fly in February 2026.” (said 1 January 2026). Verdict: mostly false. Reliability API, claim c_706b774c85ee, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_706b774c85ee

Claims without a verdict

Is a verdict here wrong, or do you speak for Rodney Brooks? Reply on the claim's own page, with the form at its foot (how replies work). Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts and scores are made.