Child deaths will fall by half, and more diseases will be eradicated than ever before.

Cite this claim

Bill Gates, “Child deaths will fall by half, and more diseases will be eradicated than ever before.” (said 2015). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_e72d5d226dd4, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e72d5d226dd4

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

More prediction claims by Bill Gates

1. Mixed Prediction · February 2021

   “We believe these new tools will soon begin bending the curve in a big way.”

   New COVID-19 tests, treatments and vaccines will soon begin to bend the pandemic curve substantially.

2. Mostly false Prediction · 2015

   “Guinea worm, an incredibly painful disease whose sufferers spend months incapacitated while worms that can be several feet long burst out of their legs, will also be gone soon, thanks in large part…”

   Guinea worm disease will be eradicated soon, thanks largely to President Jimmy Carter and the Carter Center.

3. Mostly false Prediction · 2015

   “We can get polio out of Africa this year and out of every country in the world in the next several years.”

   Polio can be eliminated from Africa in 2015 and from every country in the world within several years.

4. Mostly true Prediction · 2015

   “If anything kills over 10 million people in the next few decades, it's most likely to be a highly infectious virus rather than a war.”

   If anything kills over 10 million people in the next few decades, it will most likely be a highly infectious virus rather than a war.

5. Resolved true Prediction · 2015

   “And you can see there's over 30 million people die from that epidemic.”

   In the epidemic shown, which would spread throughout the world very quickly, over 30 million people die.

All of them