ClaimsBill Ackman

“We need to convince our country to take Covid seriously or we will lose another 500k Americans.”

Bill Ackman, X post 16 November 2020 Post by @BillAckman on X, 2020-11-16 (X)

Prediction Biosecurity

If the US does not take Covid seriously, another 500,000 Americans will die of Covid.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Counterfactual conditional with undefined 'take seriously' and no horizon.

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “If the US does not take Covid seriously, another 500,000 Americans will die of Covid.” (said 16 November 2020). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_dd79e6c96b97, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dd79e6c96b97

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More prediction claims by Bill Ackman

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  4. Mostly true Prediction August 2024
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  5. Resolved true Prediction August 2024
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    Chipotle is on track to open approximately 300 new restaurants in 2024 and expects to more than double its store base to at least 7,000 North American locations over time.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.