ClaimsNate Silver

“In 2012, in an interview that Molloy cited in her piece, I described myself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian.”

Nate Silver, author of Silver Bulletin 2012 Not everyone who disagrees with you is a closet right-winger (Silver Bulletin) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

In a 2012 interview, Nate Silver described himself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

True: a 2012 interview exists in which Silver described his politics as somewhere between liberal and libertarian, or in close equivalent words. Mostly true: the interview exists and the self-description matches in substance, but the year is slightly off (for example it was published late 2011 or early 2013), or the wording differs in a minor way. Mostly false: an interview exists, but he described himself differently in a way that only partly matches, for example only 'libertarian-leaning' or only 'liberal'. False: the interview located (including the one Molloy cited) shows he did not describe himself this way, or shows a clearly different self-description.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Nate Silver - Wikiquote Wikiquote

    “I'd say I am somewhere in between being a libertarian and a liberal. So if I were to vote it would be kind of a Gary Johnson versus Mitt Romney decision, I suppose.”
  2. E2 Nate Silver - Wikiquote Wikiquote

    “Interview with Charlie Rose (29 October 2012)”
  3. E3 Interview: Nate Silver explains The Phoenix (Boston) · 5 November 2012

    “I'm actually more liberal to libertarian.”
  4. E4 Nate Silver - Influence Watch InfluenceWatch

    “in a 2012 NPR interview, he called himself a “political independent.””

Reasoning

Wikiquote quotes Silver saying "I'd say I am somewhere in between being a libertarian and a liberal" (E1). It attributes the line to an interview with Charlie Rose dated 29 October 2012 (E2). A separate Boston Phoenix interview published 5 November 2012 quotes him saying "I'm actually more liberal to libertarian" (E3), which supports the same self-description in a 2012 interview. The wording matches the claim, and so does the year.

Cite this claim

Nate Silver, “In a 2012 interview, Nate Silver described himself as being somewhere between a liberal and a libertarian.” (said 2012). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_d4dcb7d3a1c1, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d4dcb7d3a1c1

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nate Silver, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Nate Silver

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    “a Trump sweep of the swing states was actually our most common scenario, occurring in 20 percent of simulations.”

    In Silver Bulletin's final model, a Trump sweep of the seven swing states was the most common scenario, occurring in 20 percent of simulations.

  2. Resolved true Factual 13 August 2024
    “Part of why I've moved the model back to the newsletter, where the probabilities are paywalled, technically”

    Nate Silver has moved his election forecast model back to his Silver Bulletin newsletter, where the probabilities are technically paywalled.

  3. Mostly true Factual 11 September 2023
    “launching FiveThirtyEight was basically my fourth career after management consulting, professional poker, and baseball analytics.”

    Nate Silver said launching FiveThirtyEight was basically his fourth career, after management consulting, professional poker, and baseball analytics.

  4. Resolved true Factual 11 September 2023
    “I’ve turned on the option for paid subscriptions.”

    Nate Silver turned on paid subscriptions for the Silver Bulletin newsletter by 11 September 2023.

  5. Mostly true Factual 8 June 2021
    “Overall we were quite happy and the forecasts were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls.”

    The 2020 election forecasts by Nate Silver's team were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.