ClaimsBill Ackman

“We expect that each of our current portfolio companies will grow their EPS at an annual rate of 15% or more over the next three to five years, with about half of our companies achieving expected EPS growth of 20% or more over the same period.”

Pershing Square Holdings letter signed by Bill Ackman, CEO 12 August 2026 Pershing Square H1 2026 Letter To Shareholders (Seeking Alpha) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

The letter states an expectation that each of its current portfolio companies will grow EPS at an annual rate of 15% or more over the next three to five years, with about half expected to achieve EPS growth of 20% or more over the same period.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

deadline 2031 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Bill Ackman, “The letter states an expectation that each of its current portfolio companies will grow EPS at an annual rate of 15% or more over the next three to five years, with about half expected to achieve EPS growth of 20% or more over the same period.” (said 12 August 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_b41b4638705b, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b41b4638705b

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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  2. Mixed Prediction August 2024
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  3. Mostly true Prediction August 2024
    “We believe that UMG's underperformance this quarter will prove to be short-term in nature and does not impact our view of UMG's medium and long-term growth prospects.”

    Pershing Square believed Universal Music Group's underperformance in the latest quarter would prove short-term and said it did not change its view of UMG's medium and long-term growth prospects.

  4. Resolved true Prediction August 2024
    “Chipotle is on track to open approximately 300 new restaurants this year, and expects to more than double its store base to at least 7,000 locations in North America over time.”

    Chipotle is on track to open approximately 300 new restaurants in 2024 and expects to more than double its store base to at least 7,000 North American locations over time.

  5. Resolved true Prediction August 2024
    “CPKC has made considerable progress on realizing revenue synergies despite a challenging freight environment, and now expects to exit 2024 with C$800 million of new business.”

    CPKC expects to exit 2024 with C$800 million of new business from revenue synergies.

All of them

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