ClaimsNate Silver

“For the record, I voted for Kamala Harris, so that’s the outcome I was rooting for as a citizen.”

Nate Silver, author of Silver Bulletin 7 November 2024 The model exactly predicted the most likely election map (Silver Bulletin) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation Political

Nate Silver voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Reasoning

Ballot is secret; only Silver's own statement could show his vote.

Cite this claim

Nate Silver, “Nate Silver voted for Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election.” (said 7 November 2024). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_8e5ff9fbb418, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8e5ff9fbb418

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nate Silver, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More factual claims by Nate Silver

  1. Resolved true Factual 7 November 2024
    “a Trump sweep of the swing states was actually our most common scenario, occurring in 20 percent of simulations.”

    In Silver Bulletin's final model, a Trump sweep of the seven swing states was the most common scenario, occurring in 20 percent of simulations.

  2. Resolved true Factual 13 August 2024
    “Part of why I've moved the model back to the newsletter, where the probabilities are paywalled, technically”

    Nate Silver has moved his election forecast model back to his Silver Bulletin newsletter, where the probabilities are technically paywalled.

  3. Mostly true Factual 11 September 2023
    “launching FiveThirtyEight was basically my fourth career after management consulting, professional poker, and baseball analytics.”

    Nate Silver said launching FiveThirtyEight was basically his fourth career, after management consulting, professional poker, and baseball analytics.

  4. Resolved true Factual 11 September 2023
    “I’ve turned on the option for paid subscriptions.”

    Nate Silver turned on paid subscriptions for the Silver Bulletin newsletter by 11 September 2023.

  5. Mostly true Factual 8 June 2021
    “Overall we were quite happy and the forecasts were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls.”

    The 2020 election forecasts by Nate Silver's team were largely accurate and well-calibrated despite a bad year for the polls.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.