ClaimsScott Alexander

“This one involves assigning utility weights to ~80 different AI safety accomplishments.”

Scott Alexander, ACX author 19 October 2026 Open Thread 456 (Astral Codex Ten) archived copy

Factual Their own work or organisation

Scott Alexander's new survey asks respondents to assign utility weights to about 80 different AI safety accomplishments.

Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Cite this claim

Scott Alexander, “Scott Alexander's new survey asks respondents to assign utility weights to about 80 different AI safety accomplishments.” (said 19 October 2026). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_86b8d5d8e17e, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_86b8d5d8e17e

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More factual claims by Scott Alexander

  1. Mostly true Factual 5 October 2026
    “Reader Nikita Sokolsky has completed his work getting some extra Fatima documents from Portugal and translating them into English.”

    Reader Nikita Sokolsky has finished obtaining extra Fatima documents from Portugal and translating them into English.

  2. Resolved true Factual 5 October 2026
    “Rob Ennals, who made this year’s book review contest site, has gathered the reviews from earlier years into epubs here.”

    Rob Ennals, who made this year's ACX book review contest site, has gathered reviews from earlier years into epubs.

  3. Resolved true Factual 10 December 2024
    “There’s a good interview with Skarbek in last month’s issue of Asterisk, I think it will be online shortly.”

    Last month's issue of Asterisk (November 2024) contains an interview with Skarbek, which Scott thinks will be online shortly.

  4. Resolved true Factual 20 February 2023
    “Things felt so fuzzy that I (partly) abandoned my usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for total guesses.”

    In 2018 Scott Alexander partly abandoned his usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for rough guesses in his five-year predictions.

  5. Resolved true Factual 14 March 2022
    “Also last month, I suggested Manifold Markets have a loan feature to help boost investment in long-term markets.”

    In February 2022 Scott Alexander suggested that Manifold Markets add a loan feature to boost investment in long-term markets.

All of them

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