The polling firm GBAO has done millions of dollars' worth of polling for Democratic clients.
Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
True: FEC disbursement records, campaign finance databases (OpenSecrets) or GBAO's documented client work show cumulative payments to GBAO (GBA Strategies/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner successor) from Democratic campaigns, party committees or allied groups totaling at least $1–2 million by 2023-09-08. Mostly true: clearly substantial Democratic polling work is documented, and totals approach but are not clearly shown to exceed a few million dollars, or the firm's identity or lineage is slightly misstated. Mixed: GBAO does Democratic polling, but the documented totals are well under $1 million. Mostly false: GBAO's clients are mainly non-partisan or non-Democratic, with only minor Democratic work. False: GBAO has not done polling for Democratic clients.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (3)
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E1 DCCC Vendors Work for Corporations Lobbying Against Democratic Policies Sludge · 21 May 2019
“Polling firm GBA Strategies, which has received $62,500 from the DCCC in the current election cycle and received $1.7 million from the DCCC in 2017-18, works with Charter Communications”
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E2 DCCC Vendors Work for Corporations Lobbying Against Democratic Policies - The American Prospect The American Prospect · 23 May 2019
“Polling firm GBA Strategies, which has received $62,500 from the DCCC in the current election cycle and received $1.7 million from the DCCC in 2017-18, works with Charter Communications”
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E3 Transcript of Board of Elections Special Meeting Released - Finney Law Firm Finney Law Firm · 19 September 2018
“the unredacted checks showing that the $16,500 payment to GBA Strategies – a DC polling firm – was indeed for polling, not “consulting.””
Reasoning
E1 (Sludge) and E2 (The American Prospect) report that the polling firm GBA Strategies received $1.7 million from the DCCC in the 2017-18 cycle and another $62,500 in the following cycle. The resolution criteria treat GBA Strategies as part of GBAO's lineage. E3 records a further $16,500 payment to GBA Strategies that was for polling; the quoted text does not name the payer. Cumulative payments from a Democratic party committee alone reach the criteria's threshold of at least $1–2 million before 2023-09-08.
Cite this claim
Nate Silver, “The polling firm GBAO has done millions of dollars' worth of polling for Democratic clients.” (said 8 September 2023). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_762f32b9fc8c, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_762f32b9fc8c
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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