ClaimsNate Silver

“if I stop regularly writing this newsletter4 — such as because I wind up working somewhere that wants me to be exclusive — I’ll suspend payment on monthly subscriptions”

Nate Silver, author of Silver Bulletin 11 September 2023 Soft launch of paid subscriptions (Silver Bulletin) archived copy

Promise Their own work or organisation

If Nate Silver stops regularly writing Silver Bulletin, he will suspend payment on monthly subscriptions.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Promise: Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

Reasoning

The promise depends on him no longer writing the newsletter regularly. It sets no deadline and no outcome that can be tested.

Cite this claim

Nate Silver, “If Nate Silver stops regularly writing Silver Bulletin, he will suspend payment on monthly subscriptions.” (said 11 September 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_4a1f9d0ff1f9, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_4a1f9d0ff1f9

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nate Silver, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More promise claims by Nate Silver

  1. Delivered on time Promise 12 May 2025
    “It will be at least a year before we have the official Silver Bulletin midterms forecast up.”

    The Silver Bulletin will not publish its official 2026 midterms forecast until at least a year after May 2025.

  2. Mostly false Promise 7 November 2024
    “I’ll probably begin with college basketball Elo ratings just because those are pretty straightforward, with a goal of launching by the end of the year, if not sooner.”

    Silver said he would probably begin with college basketball Elo ratings, with a goal of launching by the end of 2024, if not sooner.

  3. Mostly true Promise 11 September 2023
    “Occasional2 paywalled posts on other topics that attract nerdy but enthusiastic audiences.”

    Silver Bulletin will publish occasional paywalled posts on other topics for paid subscribers.

  4. Resolved true Promise 11 September 2023
    “Periodic1 paid-subscriber-only Q&A threads, where I’ll answer reader questions from paid subscribers.”

    Nate Silver will hold periodic paid-subscriber-only Q&A threads on Silver Bulletin, answering questions from paid subscribers.

  5. Delivered on time Promise 29 June 2022
    “Midterms model coming soon; think one of the topline numbers might surprise people a bit.”

    Nate Silver's midterms forecast model will be published soon.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.