The Wall Street Journal polls in partnership between a Republican polling firm and a Democratic polling firm.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
Judged as of 2023-09-08. True: the Wall Street Journal's national polls at that time were jointly conducted by one Republican-aligned polling firm and one Democratic-aligned polling firm (for example a named GOP pollster paired with a named Democratic pollster). Mostly true: the bipartisan pairing was in place but with a minor detail off (e.g. it applied to most rather than all WSJ polls, or one firm's partisan label is loosely applied). Mixed: such a partnership existed for some WSJ polling but WSJ's main polls were run differently. Mostly false: the bipartisan arrangement had existed in the past (e.g. under a former media partner) but not for WSJ polls as of the claim date. False: WSJ polls at the time were run by a single nonpartisan or single-party firm, or WSJ ran no such polls. The remark that adversarial collaboration 'often yields reliable results' is commentary and does not decide the verdict.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Dow Jones & The Wall Street Journal Announce Major Investments in New Polling Initiatives Dow Jones · 7 December 2021
“The Wall Street Journal Poll brings together firms led by John Anzalone, lead pollster for President Biden’s 2020 presidential campaign, and Tony Fabrizio, lead pollster for former President Trump’s presidential campaigns, for quarterly polls exploring political trends and voter sentiments across the nation.”
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E2 Trump campaign paid pollster hired by Wall Street Journal $600,000 just in 2023: records Raw Story · 5 September 2023
“But the most recent poll from the Wall Street Journal lambasting President Joe Biden for being too old to run for president was also conducted by Tony Fabrizio, in conjunction with another pollster, Michael Bocian, who works with some Democratic candidates but not the Biden campaign.”
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E3 WSJ_NORC Topline March2023 Wall Street Journal / NORC at the University of Chicago
“This survey, funded by the Wall Street Journal, was conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago.”
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E4 The Wall Street Journal/NORC Polling Partnership | NORC at the University of Chicago NORC at the University of Chicago · 12 January 2023
“In December 2021, Dow Jones & The Wall Street Journal announced the launch of a new polling partnership with NORC at the University of Chicago to conduct surveys on cultural and social issues of importance.”
Reasoning
E1 (Dow Jones, 2021) says The Wall Street Journal Poll pairs firms led by Democratic pollster John Anzalone and Republican pollster Tony Fabrizio for quarterly political polls. E2 (2023-09-05) reports that the most recent WSJ poll was conducted by Fabrizio together with Michael Bocian, who works with Democratic candidates, so the bipartisan pairing was in place at the claim date. E3 and E4 show that WSJ also had a separate polling partnership with NORC at the University of Chicago for surveys on cultural and social issues, with NORC alone conducting the March 2023 survey, so the bipartisan pairing covered WSJ's main political poll but not all WSJ polling.
Cite this claim
Nate Silver, “The Wall Street Journal polls in partnership between a Republican polling firm and a Democratic polling firm.” (said 8 September 2023). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_44dbeaff7dbe, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_44dbeaff7dbe
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.