Scott Alexander said the NYT's characterisation was true only insofar as he once expressed agreement with an unrelated Charles Murray position: that telling poor people to learn to code is insufficient and a stable income is needed.
Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
The second judge would not resolve this claim; the verdict shown is the first judge's.
The evidence is the person's or their organisation's own records.
What would count as true or false
True if Scott Alexander's writings before February 2021 show that his only notable expressed agreement with Charles Murray was on an unrelated topic, namely that a guaranteed or basic income is needed rather than just telling poor people to learn to code (Murray's UBI position). Mostly true if that agreement exists and other agreements were trivial or passing. Mixed if he had expressed agreement with Murray on a few other substantive points. Mostly false if he expressed agreement with Murray on several topics, including ones related to the NYT's characterisation (such as Murray's views on race or IQ), while the UBI agreement is real. False if the UBI agreement did not happen, or if he had clearly and repeatedly endorsed the views the NYT linked him to.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (4)
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E1 Three Great Articles On Poverty, And Why I Disagree With All Of Them Slate Star Codex (Scott Alexander's blog) · 23 May 2016 Own record
“His solution is a basic income guarantee, and I guess that’s mine too.”
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E2 Three Great Articles On Poverty, And Why I Disagree With All Of Them Slate Star Codex (Scott Alexander's blog) · 23 May 2016 Own record
“But he shares my skepticism that the 55 year old Kentucky trucker can be taught to code, and I don’t think he’s too sanguine about the trucker’s kids either.”
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E3 Sacred Principles As Exhaustible Resources Slate Star Codex (Scott Alexander's blog) · 11 April 2017 Own record
“If Charles Murray sincerely believes what he says, thinks it’s important, and thinks that saying it makes the world a better place, then he is exactly the sort of person whom free speech exists to defend.”
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E4 Book Review: The Cult Of Smart Astral Codex Ten (Scott Alexander's blog) · 18 February 2021 Own record
“A while ago, I freaked out upon finding a study that seemed to show most expert scientists in the field agreed with Murray's thesis in 1987”
Reasoning
Alexander's own 2016 post records the agreement directly. He says Murray's basic income guarantee is his solution too (E1), and that Murray shares his doubt that a 55-year-old trucker can be taught to code (E2). The 2017 post (E3) defends Murray's right to free speech but does not endorse his views on race or IQ. E4 was published after the 2021-02-14 judge-as-of date, so it was not used. The evidence confirms the UBI agreement but cannot show there were no other agreements, so this is mostly true rather than true.
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “Scott Alexander said the NYT's characterisation was true only insofar as he once expressed agreement with an unrelated Charles Murray position: that telling poor people to learn to code is insufficient and a stable income is needed.” (said 14 February 2021). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_399e9fab9cfd, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_399e9fab9cfd
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Scott Alexander
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Mostly true
“Reader Nikita Sokolsky has completed his work getting some extra Fatima documents from Portugal and translating them into English.”
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Resolved true
“Rob Ennals, who made this year’s book review contest site, has gathered the reviews from earlier years into epubs here.”
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Resolved true
“There’s a good interview with Skarbek in last month’s issue of Asterisk, I think it will be online shortly.”
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Resolved true
“Things felt so fuzzy that I (partly) abandoned my usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for total guesses.”
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Resolved true
“Also last month, I suggested Manifold Markets have a loan feature to help boost investment in long-term markets.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.