Scott Alexander's Contra Grant post states "My research suggests no average gender difference in ability".
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
What would count as true or false
This claim is about what the post says. True: Scott Alexander's post 'Contra Grant' (Feb 2021, Astral Codex Ten, about Adam Grant), as published at the time, contains the sentence 'My research suggests no average gender difference in ability' word for word or nearly so. Mostly true: the post has the sentence with small wording changes that keep its meaning. Also mostly true if the sentence is there but the post quotes it from Grant or someone else rather than stating it in Scott's own voice. Mixed: the post says something similar but clearly weaker or different in substance. Mostly false: a sentence like this appears in a different post or source, not in 'Contra Grant'. False: the text of 'Contra Grant' is available and contains no such statement, either quoted or in Scott's voice.
Set before the research began.
Evidence (1)
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E1 Bi-weekly Rational Feed — LessWrong LessWrong · 8 August 2017
“Hyde found moderate or large gender differences in aggressiveness, horniness, language abilities, mechanical abilities, visuospatial skills, mechanical ability, tendermindness, assertiveness, comfort with body, various physical abilities, and computer skills.”
Reasoning
The only evidence, E3, is a 2017 LessWrong link roundup summarising Janet Hyde's findings on gender differences. It does not quote or describe the February 2021 'Contra Grant' post. Because no evidence shows the text of 'Contra Grant', there is no way to tell whether the post contains the quoted sentence, either quoted from someone else or in Scott Alexander's own voice.
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “Scott Alexander's Contra Grant post states "My research suggests no average gender difference in ability".” (said 14 February 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_2f33971d1a70, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_2f33971d1a70
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Scott Alexander
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Mostly true
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Resolved true
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Resolved true
“There’s a good interview with Skarbek in last month’s issue of Asterisk, I think it will be online shortly.”
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Resolved true
“Things felt so fuzzy that I (partly) abandoned my usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for total guesses.”
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Resolved true
“Also last month, I suggested Manifold Markets have a loan feature to help boost investment in long-term markets.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.