Typically about 1% of the people who read a blog's viral hit stick around as regular readers, based on Slate Star Codex's early growth.
Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
Reasoning
The roughly 1% figure is Scott Alexander's own description of a usual pattern, which he gives alongside a mention of statistics he says he has on Slate Star Codex's first several years; only his own records could settle it.
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “Typically about 1% of the people who read a blog's viral hit stick around as regular readers, based on Slate Star Codex's early growth.” (said 3 April 2025). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_17ce80a3b941, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_17ce80a3b941
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Scott Alexander
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Mostly true
“Reader Nikita Sokolsky has completed his work getting some extra Fatima documents from Portugal and translating them into English.”
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Resolved true
“Rob Ennals, who made this year’s book review contest site, has gathered the reviews from earlier years into epubs here.”
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Resolved true
“There’s a good interview with Skarbek in last month’s issue of Asterisk, I think it will be online shortly.”
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Resolved true
“Things felt so fuzzy that I (partly) abandoned my usual clear-resolution probabilistic predictions for total guesses.”
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Resolved true
“Also last month, I suggested Manifold Markets have a loan feature to help boost investment in long-term markets.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.