Vinod Khosla

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

• Factual claims

  Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

  72 64 80

  Medium confidence, 43 factual claims resolved. From 11 documents, 2007 to 2024; 19 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

  Not scored: 44 unresolvable, 21 checkable only against their own records.

  See the factual claims

• Predictions

  Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

  58 40 75

  Low confidence, 9 predictions resolved. From 2 documents, 2007 to 2010; 19 documents sampled from 31 candidates found.

  Not scored: 46 unresolvable, 1 checkable only against their own records. 15 more fall due later.

  Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

  See the predictions

All types combined: 70 (likely 62 to 77, high confidence), from 52 claims: 43 factual claims, 9 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.