| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
24 Mar 2026 |
The single biggest danger to AI adoption is politics,
Not checkable · 24 Mar 2026 |
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| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
24 Mar 2026 |
If capital gains and ordinary income tax rates were equalized, the change could be tax neutral and remove 125 million people from the tax roll, with anyone making $100,000 or less paying no taxes.
Prediction · 24 Mar 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
24 Mar 2026 |
I think the single biggest danger to AI is not AI capability or lack thereof.
Not checkable · 24 Mar 2026 |
|
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
24 Mar 2026 |
A project to build a free AI doctor with more expertise than any doctor is doable within the next two to three years.
Prediction · 24 Mar 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
24 Mar 2026 |
The US could develop a free doctor and offer it to everybody on the planet,
Not checkable · 24 Mar 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
24 Mar 2026 |
AI will cause massive job dislocation.
Prediction · 24 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
24 Mar 2026 |
Will there be new kinds of jobs? Maybe, maybe not. I don’t know.
Not checkable · 24 Mar 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
24 Mar 2026 |
In the next few years there will be very few things AI won't be able to do.
Prediction · 24 Mar 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
24 Mar 2026 |
So I do think we ought to structurally solve this problem by increasing the minimum level of services.
Not checkable · 24 Mar 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
24 Mar 2026 |
AI will favor capital over labor in the capital-versus-labor contest.
Prediction · 24 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
24 Mar 2026 |
Khosla said he believes fear of AI will be the single biggest issue in the 2028 US presidential election.
Prediction · 24 Mar 2026 |
AI policy and governance |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
6 Mar 2026 |
“All education should be free,” Khosla said
Not checkable · 6 Mar 2026 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
6 Mar 2026 |
the fate of universities themselves is “a real question.”
Not checkable · 6 Mar 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
6 Mar 2026 |
Khosla said he thinks there will be enough abundance that the need to work will go away.
Prediction · 6 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
6 Mar 2026 |
“Do you pay a farmworker the same as an oncologist, because they happen to have the same expertise, which is the expertise of AI?” Khosla…
Not checkable · 6 Mar 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
6 Mar 2026 |
Two-thirds of all jobs will be capable of being done by AI, which will do the work of physicians, radiologists, accountants, chip designers and salespeople better than humans.
Prediction · 6 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
6 Mar 2026 |
In a world where technology rules and higher education is free, people will not need a college to get an engineering degree, nor even the degree itself, except for those whose passion is learning.
Prediction · 6 Mar 2026 |
Field building and careers |
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
4 Mar 2026 |
Khosla said he suspects that by 2040, $30,000 (and maybe $10,000) will buy much more than $100,000 of income buys today.
Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Mar 2026 |
Because of AI, the need for people to work will go away.
Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Mar 2026 |
Labor of farmworkers, assembly line workers, retail workers and accountants will become free in a competitive economy, leading to declining prices.
Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
4 Mar 2026 |
AI will free us to be more human, in my view.
Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
4 Mar 2026 |
People will still work on the things they want to work on, not because they need to work.
Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
4 Mar 2026 |
The room for creativity is very, very large, but we are drilled into a narrow vision of what we are supposed to do, and I think that’s the…
Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Mar 2026 |
Because of AI, people will not even need an engineering degree, except for those whose passion is learning.
Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
4 Mar 2026 |
It is unlikely that a 5-year-old today will need to look for a job as an adult.
Prediction · 4 Mar 2026 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
4 Mar 2026 |
The abundance of goods and services will be very, very large. Prices will be very, very low,
Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
4 Mar 2026 |
What happens when all labor is free?
Not checkable · 4 Mar 2026 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
16 Feb 2026 |
replicates cognitive labor itself
Not checkable · 16 Feb 2026 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
16 Feb 2026 |
AI systems are rapidly nearing a point where they can outperform humans in most economically valuable tasks.
Prediction · 16 Feb 2026 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
I’ll get critique for this idea,
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
not a job that humans should have.
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
Take 10% of every corporation and put it in a national pool for the people.
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
sharing the wealth of AI is a really, really big need to level the benefits to everybody
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
That’s servitude to survival,
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
When Trump bought 10% of Intel, I wondered if it wasn’t a good idea,
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
We won’t need to do it in 15 years, but we do have to take care of those people.
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
|
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
28 Oct 2025 |
By 2035 the economy will be hugely deflationary.
Prediction · 28 Oct 2025 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
28 Oct 2025 |
Just take 10% of every public company.
Not checkable · 28 Oct 2025 |
|
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
Within five years of mid-2025, AI will be able to do 80% of any economically valuable job humans can do.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
The 2030s will see a faster rate of demise of Fortune 500 companies than ever seen before.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
Fusion and super-hot geothermal could make power cheaper than natural gas.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
Technology |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
We’re going to see this large change in such a short time, it’s almost hard to imagine how society adjusts.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
almost every job is being reinvented, every material thing is being reinvented differently with AI as a driver.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
Entrepreneurs invent the future they want.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
experts are terrible at predicting the future; they extrapolate the past.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
I don’t care about the probability of failure.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
Most people reduce risk to increase the probability of success.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
Almost everybody in the 2030s will have a humanoid robot at home.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
I do the opposite: Start with [the] high consequences of success.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
I’ve never seen a cycle like this
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
By 2040 the biggest risk we might face is China using AI, both cyber and warfare AI and socially good AI like free doctors for everyone, to embed its political philosophy.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
AI policy and governance |
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
The transition he described, a faster demise of Fortune 500 companies in the 2030s, will not come from existing companies; somebody new will reinvent this.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
People will work on things because they want to, not because they need to pay their mortgage.
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
crazy and frenetic
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
very bullish about energy
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
Household humanoid robots will probably start with a narrow task such as cooking.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
1 Jul 2025 |
By 2040 the need for people to work will go away.
Prediction · 1 Jul 2025 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
Innovation only—I can’t think of very many large examples where large innovation came from somebody who was large or in the business
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
1 Jul 2025 |
By 2040 the biggest risk we might face
Not checkable · 1 Jul 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
With AI, music and entertainment will become plentiful and personalized to the user and their mood.
Prediction · May 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
laws can give us safety without big brother
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
we can do one of two things
Not checkable · May 2025 |
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| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
doomtalk is a first-world luxury of ivy-league academics
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
powering this AI-utopia will require complementary technologies such as fusion for limitless, cheap power generation
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
but shifts come with fear mongering
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
ethics failure is human, not silicon
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
AI agents will protect and advise every consumer.
Prediction · May 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI could help create more just & equitable societies
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
800m people live a rich lifestyle
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
let’s confront the dystopian narrative
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI will free humanity & redefine the human experience & ‘humanness’
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
Scientists will be supercharged: AI scientists, working alone or with humans, will become super scientists able to 10x or 100x their capability, creativity and volume of research.
Prediction · May 2025 |
Science and research methods |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
bias is human; AI can “remove” it better
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
There will be new food and fertilizers, including better alternative protein and green fertilizer.
Prediction · May 2025 |
Technology |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
kids can be free to pursue their passion, not jobs
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
Carbon emissions could become a smaller issue because entrepreneurs will develop and scale better technologies for cement, steel, agriculture, transport and power.
Prediction · May 2025 |
Technology |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI is akin to the steam engine – a “multiplier”
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
AI will make it possible to have near-free AI doctors for every person and AI tutors for every child, available 24x7.
Prediction · May 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
redistribution will be a choice in a deflationary economy
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not yet due |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
Before 2030, AI could do 80% of 80% of all non-labor (expertise) work.
Prediction · May 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI can free humanity
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
CEOs’ incentives are economic; dictators are not transparent
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
most dystopian scenarios are societal choices:
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
china is the biggest risk
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
provide an “opt-out option”: live an amish-style if you chose it
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
not a societal choice: treaties
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
Humanity will discover more natural resources than it consumes, including lithium, cobalt and copper.
Prediction · May 2025 |
Economics and markets |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
the real nightmare is losing to bad regimes, not rogue code
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
job loss & economic inequality are legitimate fears that can be addressed via policy
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI makes post-scarcity possible; policy makes it fair
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
Most science will eventually be done by AI scientists.
Prediction · May 2025 |
Science and research methods |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI could play a crucial role in addressing climate change
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
AI could help shift societal focus from economic growth to human well-being and fulfillment
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
only a few hundred people probably fully understand the trajectory we’re on
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
platform shifts are some of the greatest opportunities of our lifetime
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
There will be a billion bipedal and other robots freeing humans from undesirable jobs.
Prediction · May 2025 |
AI, the economy and work |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
enhance creativity for the vast majority of us without creative skills
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Unresolvable |
Prediction |
May 2025 |
AI robots will manage household work at a lower monthly cost than a car.
Prediction · May 2025 |
AI capabilities |
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
democratized AI trumps monopoly panic
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|
| Not checkable |
Not checkable |
May 2025 |
or, we can plan for and build an AI utopia
Not checkable · May 2025 |
|