ClaimsPeople

Tyler Cowen

Tyler Cowen is an economist, author and commentator who holds the Holbert L. Harris Chair of Economics at George Mason University and co-founded the Marginal Revolution blog.

775 claims collected, 174 researched, 97 resolved. Report of 4 November 2026, method 0.1.0+c876030c.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    80 75 85

    High confidence, 93 factual claims resolved. From 15 documents, 2004 to 2026; 19 documents sampled from 37 candidates found.

    Not scored: 26 unresolvable, 14 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    Insufficient record: 4 predictions resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 31 unresolvable. 4 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    Insufficient record: 0 promises resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 1 unresolvable, 1 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

All types combined: 80 (likely 75 to 85, high confidence), from 93 claims: 93 factual claims. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

Tyler Cowen's claims

97 claims

97 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Resolved true Factual 30 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen appeared on the Conversations with Coleman podcast, published by 2026-03-30. Factual · 30 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 26 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen published a new "generative book" that he says was fully written by himself. Factual · 26 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 25 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Paul Gillingham, published by 2026-03-25. Factual · 25 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 25 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen's conversation with Paul Gillingham was mostly about Mexico. Factual · 25 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 18 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Harvey Mansfield, published by 2026-03-18. Factual · 18 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 16 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen's planned conversation with Toby Wilkinson has ancient and Ptolemaic Egypt as its topic. Factual · 16 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 4 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen said he was pretty sure new schools would make up below 1%, or certainly below 2%, of higher education. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Mostly true Factual 4 Mar 2026 In the university sector there are some startups, but they are not significant. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 4 Mar 2026 The Trump administration is already taking steps toward selling or pricing immigration access, though at too high a price. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Mixed Factual 4 Mar 2026 A large number of assistant deans have been hired at universities in the last 15 years. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Mostly true Factual 4 Mar 2026 The human body cannot survive very well on other planets, other moons, or in outer space. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Mostly true Factual 4 Mar 2026 Most Americans outside border areas do not feel they are losing their country, even if they think immigration is too high. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Mostly false Factual 4 Mar 2026 The World Bank seems weaker in relative terms, more displaced by private capital markets. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 4 Mar 2026 Hungary's birth subsidies boosted its birth rate for a while, before it fell back. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Resolved true Factual 4 Mar 2026 Hungary spent up to 5% of its GDP on birth subsidies. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Other
Mostly true Factual 4 Mar 2026 Tyler Cowen held a literary Conversations with Tyler episode with Henry Oliver, published by 2026-03-04. Factual · 4 Mar 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 22 Feb 2026 Tyler Cowen recorded a podcast with Jake Sullivan and Jon Finer, mostly on geopolitics, with a transcript available. Factual · 22 Feb 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 18 Feb 2026 Tyler Cowen appeared on the podcast of Rasheed Griffith and Diego Sanchez de la Cruz, discussing Latin America and Spain. Factual · 18 Feb 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 18 Feb 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Joe Studwell, published by 2026-02-18. Factual · 18 Feb 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 4 Feb 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Andrew Ross Sorkin, published by 2026-02-04. Factual · 4 Feb 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 26 Jan 2026 Shikha Dalmia moderated a podcast discussion between Tyler Cowen and Francis Fukuyama, published by 2026-01-26. Factual · 26 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 24 Jan 2026 The 51st cohort of Emergent Ventures winners was announced by 2026-01-24. Factual · 24 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 21 Jan 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Diarmaid MacCulloch, published by 2026-01-21. Factual · 21 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 12 Jan 2026 Joe Studwell has a new book titled How Africa Works. Factual · 12 Jan 2026 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 7 Jan 2026 Tyler Cowen held a Conversations with Tyler episode with Brendan Foody, published by 2026-01-07. Factual · 7 Jan 2026 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 6 Dec 2025 The UK continues to deindustrialize, and London's standing as a financial centre was hurt by 2008, Brexit and superior innovations elsewhere. Factual · 6 Dec 2025 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 6 Dec 2025 The UK's human capital (through brain drain) and its matching of market demands have both declined in recent times. Factual · 6 Dec 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly false Factual 6 Dec 2025 In Cowen's view, weak human capital and mismatch with market demand are the biggest reasons the UK is currently in economic trouble. Factual · 6 Dec 2025 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 6 Dec 2025 Countries' growth rates in one decade are not very predictive of their growth rates in subsequent decades. Factual · 6 Dec 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly true Factual 6 Dec 2025 Growth theories giving predominant weight to institutions predict much more serial correlation of growth rates than is found in the data. Factual · 6 Dec 2025 Economics and markets
Mostly false Factual 6 Dec 2025 An increasing number of smart Britons are leaving the UK for the US or Dubai. Factual · 6 Dec 2025 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 25 Dec 2024 Tom Tugendhat did not become leader of the UK Conservative Party. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Resolved true Factual 25 Dec 2024 The war in Ethiopia affecting Yonas's region is over in the immediate sense. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Resolved true Factual 25 Dec 2024 Srugim is a TV show covering Modern Orthodox Jews in contemporary Israel. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Mostly true Factual 25 Dec 2024 As of December 2024, OpenAI's o1 pro is the best AI model available. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 AI capabilities
Mostly false Factual 25 Dec 2024 The Israeli TV show Srugim is now massively popular. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Resolved true Factual 25 Dec 2024 Cowen says the person he is discussing has definitely made many more people vegetarians and probably influenced pro-animal legislation, adding that he has never measured this. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Philosophy, ethics and society
Mostly true Factual 25 Dec 2024 The Biden administration relied much less on economists than the Obama administration did. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Mostly true Factual 25 Dec 2024 The podcast Cowen was describing, which he said had about seven episodes and in which neither host interviews the other, is all economics, unlike Conversations with Tyler. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Their own work or organisation
Mixed Factual 25 Dec 2024 Hester Peirce previously worked at Mercatus, where she studied crypto, before becoming an SEC commissioner. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 25 Dec 2024 Use of Washington DC bike lanes has been declining, according to numbers Cowen has seen. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Mostly true Factual 25 Dec 2024 Tyler Cowen said he stated The Great Stagnation in 2011 and that he thinks it was seen as radical at the time. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 25 Dec 2024 Of the two films discussed, Cowen said Touch of Sin is the one that has become a big deal. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Other
Resolved true Factual 25 Dec 2024 Some classical music recordings sell at most 300 to 400 copies. Factual · 25 Dec 2024 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 23 Mar 2022 Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Lydia Davis. Factual · 23 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 9 Mar 2022 Tyler Cowen published a Conversation with Sam Bankman-Fried. Factual · 9 Mar 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 23 Feb 2022 Tyler Cowen published a multi-part Conversation with Chuck Klosterman, longer than usual. Factual · 23 Feb 2022 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 12 Feb 2022 TechCrunch interviewed Tyler Cowen about crypto. Factual · 12 Feb 2022 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Prediction 29 Dec 2021 The University of Austin will attract a fair number of students. Prediction · 29 Dec 2021 Field building and careers
Mostly true Factual 29 Dec 2021 Tyler Cowen said it now seems quite clear that the data the US Navy is picking up on unidentified aerial phenomena are real, not instrument errors or bad eyewitness reports. Factual · 29 Dec 2021 Other
Mostly true Factual 29 Dec 2021 The food in airports has gotten better over time. Factual · 29 Dec 2021 Other
Resolved true Factual 29 Dec 2021 Tyler Cowen sits on the advisory board of the University of Austin and has no governing role there. Factual · 29 Dec 2021 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Prediction 29 Dec 2021 The University of Austin will genuinely court STEM majors and give them a rigorous education. Prediction · 29 Dec 2021 Field building and careers
Resolved true Prediction 29 Dec 2021 The University of Austin will genuinely teach classic works. Prediction · 29 Dec 2021 Field building and careers
Mostly true Factual 29 Dec 2021 Primary contributions to child outcomes tend to be genetic, though at the margin family culture matters. Factual · 29 Dec 2021 Science and research methods
Mostly true Factual 27 Jun 2020 In Ozu's 1957 film Tokyo Twilight, the main characters randomly put on cloth masks. Factual · 27 Jun 2020 Other
Resolved true Factual 17 Jun 2020 Tyler Cowen conducted a Conversations with Tyler interview with Rachel Harmon, released by 17 June 2020. Factual · 17 Jun 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 9 Jun 2020 Marginal Revolution University released a new video featuring Colin Camerer by 9 June 2020. Factual · 9 Jun 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 5 Jun 2020 Emergent Ventures announced its ninth cohort of winners by 5 June 2020. Factual · 5 Jun 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 4 Jun 2020 George Mason University's reopening plan requires masks in all public spaces and provides them free. Factual · 4 Jun 2020 Other
Resolved true Factual 3 Jun 2020 Tyler Cowen conducted a Conversations with Tyler interview with Ashley Mears, released by 3 June 2020. Factual · 3 Jun 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 29 May 2020 Conor Friedersdorf interviewed Tyler Cowen, with the interview published by 29 May 2020. Factual · 29 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 23 May 2020 Diana Kennedy is aged 95 and a new film about her is available online as of May 2020. Factual · 23 May 2020 Other
Resolved true Factual 20 May 2020 Tyler Cowen held a second Conversations with Tyler interview with Paul Romer, released by 20 May 2020. Factual · 20 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 15 May 2020 Tyler Cowen co-authored a piece with Garry Kasparov, published by May 2020. Factual · 15 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen expected China to have an excess-capacity debt crisis, and it did not happen. Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Factual 23 Dec 2019 Bloomberg's first tier of readers are those who subscribe to its terminals. Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 23 Dec 2019 Most podcasts do not offer a transcript. Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Resolved true Factual 23 Dec 2019 Tyler Cowen first went to China about 30 years before 2019 and has been there many times since. Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 23 Dec 2019 Gordon Tullock dictated his writing using a tape recorder, not software, and then had someone type it out. Factual · 23 Dec 2019 Other
Mostly true Factual 18 Jul 2019 Evidence strikingly shows moral hazard was actually pretty weak, as the banks that lost the most were simply over-confident. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 18 Jul 2019 Tyler Cowen's book Markets and Cultural Voices was published about 15 years before 2019. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 18 Jul 2019 Employer monopsony power over workers is considerably weaker when workers live in populated areas. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 18 Jul 2019 Health care aside, the deadweight loss in question is not that large. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 18 Jul 2019 On average, people are more likely to defraud others when not working within a large organized business. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 18 Jul 2019 Measured consumer surplus from Facebook is quite high. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 18 Jul 2019 Tyler Cowen said he thinks there is some good evidence that social media are making a significant subset of teenage girls more miserable. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Technology
Mostly false Factual 18 Jul 2019 Israel is the only country other than the US with anything even vaguely like American venture capital. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 18 Jul 2019 Productivity growth has slowed down. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly false Factual 18 Jul 2019 For-profit and nonprofit hospitals are statistically hard to tell apart in what they do, how they act and what they charge. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Mixed Factual 18 Jul 2019 Travel experienced about 40 years of stagnation, followed by more advances in the last 5 years. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Technology
Mostly true Factual 18 Jul 2019 In the 2008 bank bailouts, mainly bondholders rather than equity holders were bailed out. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual 18 Jul 2019 Tyler Cowen uses his blog as his main method of social networking. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Their own work or organisation
Mostly true Factual 18 Jul 2019 The United States is by far the world's leading center of medical innovation. Factual · 18 Jul 2019 Other
Mostly true Prediction 13 May 2019 The US-China trade war will likely hurt China more than the United States. Prediction · 13 May 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Factual 13 May 2019 US consumers are not bearing the full burden of the tariffs in the US-China trade war. Factual · 13 May 2019 Economics and markets
Mostly true Factual Jun 2012 Cowen has repeatedly argued in various forums that the US is spending and borrowing too much. Factual · Jun 2012 Economics and markets
Resolved true Factual Oct 2011 The novel Eyes of God is about intrigue and Indonesia. Factual · Oct 2011 Other
Resolved true Factual Oct 2011 Eyes of God is a novel by Philip Babcock, an economist at UC Santa Barbara. Factual · Oct 2011 Other
Resolved true Factual Oct 2011 John Blundell's Ladies of Liberty contains biographical sketches of libertarian and libertarian-themed women in U.S. history. Factual · Oct 2011 Other
Resolved true Factual Oct 2011 Ladies of Liberty includes Rose Wilder Lane, Isabel Patterson, Rose Friedman, Jane Jacobs and others. Factual · Oct 2011 Other
Resolved true Factual 10 Apr 2006 Daniel Drezner offered commentary on the possibility of a US attack on Iran. Factual · 10 Apr 2006 Other global risks
Mostly true Factual 10 Apr 2006 On TradeSports around April 2006, the implied probability of a US or Israeli attack on Iran before December 2006 was about 20 percent. Factual · 10 Apr 2006 Other global risks
Resolved true Factual 5 Sep 2004 Composer Elliott Carter was still composing prolifically beyond his ninetieth birthday. Factual · 5 Sep 2004 Other
Mostly true Factual 5 Sep 2004 Elliott Carter's late short pieces are usually written for a very small number of instruments. Factual · 5 Sep 2004 Other
Mostly true Factual 5 Sep 2004 Over the ten years to 2004, Elliott Carter's reputation rose sharply. Factual · 5 Sep 2004 Other
Mostly true Factual 21 Mar 2004 War and other disruptions appear to damage capital income more than labor income. Factual · 21 Mar 2004 Economics and markets
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Tyler Cowen

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Factual Other

“Victorian literature had solutions to these problems, and Srugim, which covers Modern Orthodox in contemporary Israel, has solutions as well.”

Tyler Cowen, podcast host 25 December 2024 Conversations with Tyler 2024 Retrospective (Ep. 230) (Conversations with Tyler)

Srugim is a TV show covering Modern Orthodox Jews in contemporary Israel.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

What would count as true or false

True: Srugim is an Israeli television series about Modern Orthodox (religious Zionist) Jews in contemporary Israel (it follows young single people in Jerusalem's Katamon area). Mostly true: it is a TV series about religious Israeli Jews in contemporary Israel, with a minor mismatch in how the community is described. Mostly false: Srugim exists but is mainly about a different group or setting. False: Srugim is not a TV show, or it is about something unrelated.

Evidence

  1. Srugim - Wikipedia Wikipedia
    “Srugim (Hebrew: סרוגים; literally, "knitted" or "crocheted") is an Israeli television drama that originally aired on Yes TV between 2008 and 2012.”
  2. Finished Shtisel? Here are 5 shows about Orthodox communities to watch next Unpacked Media · 14 April 2021
    “Srugim chronicles the lives of five Dati Leumi (religious Zionist) singles, in their 30’s, living in Jerusalem. It gives viewers an insider look into the experiences of Modern Orthodox Jews in contemporary Israel.”
  3. Srugim - The iCenter The iCenter · 6 December 2022
    “Srugim tells the story of a group of 30-something modern Orthodox single friends in the Katamon neighborhood of Jerusalem.”
  4. Sex(less) in the Holy City - Jewish Telegraphic Agency Jewish Telegraphic Agency · 17 July 2014
    “The show revolved around five single people searching for spouses in the Modern Orthodox meat market of Katamon, a South Jerusalem neighborhood.”

Reasoning

E1 identifies Srugim as an Israeli television drama that aired on Yes TV between 2008 and 2012. E2, E3 and E4 are independent sources that describe it as a show about Modern Orthodox (Dati Leumi, or religious Zionist) single people in Jerusalem, with E3 and E4 placing them in the Katamon neighbourhood. This matches the "true" criterion.

Cite this claim

Tyler Cowen, “Srugim is a TV show covering Modern Orthodox Jews in contemporary Israel.” (said 25 December 2024). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_205ecb324c93, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_205ecb324c93

Claims without a verdict

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