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Nov 2025 |
This has been a bumpy year for the US economy.
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Nov 2025 |
The big question now is what 2026 will bring.
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30 Jun 2024 |
We will know more in the next 30 minutes - when polls of the first round close - whether I got it right.
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3 Apr 2024 |
Terrorist organizations directly taking orders from the Iranian government.
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3 Apr 2024 |
So get a life and don’t hide behind fig leafs
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3 Apr 2024 |
The Iranians are the masters of attacking embassies and have done so for decades (or centuries) with impunity. Spare Israel the lectures.
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28 Dec 2023 |
Putin gotta improve their buildings safety standards!
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14 Dec 2023 |
My new @FT oped ‘Flatcoins’ are the way forward.
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14 Dec 2023 |
The tokens merge the benefits of blockchain and fintech to provide a hedge against inflation while doing social good
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1 Dec 2023 |
It is a trust fund kids world
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28 Nov 2023 |
Pathetic double standard
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28 Nov 2023 |
But no one says a word about China’s systematic destruction of Islam starting with Xinjiang.
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24 Nov 2023 |
Now he is gone. Good riddance!
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22 Nov 2023 |
Happy Tasty Tryptophan Thanksgiving!
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17 Nov 2023 |
This app looks amazing.
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15 Nov 2023 |
Not surprising to me for obvious reasons!
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15 Nov 2023 |
See why our signals work.
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14 Nov 2023 |
The biggest red flag of all is blockchainers/shitcoiners
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3 Nov 2023 |
The most comprehensive analysis of the Gaza hospital explosion.
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31 Oct 2023 |
As if that was the most important aspect of WW3
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17 Oct 2023 |
What a scam!
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16 Oct 2023 |
Supporting Israel and protecting Palestinians are not contradictory policies .
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16 Oct 2023 |
Western leaders who take Israel’s tragedy seriously are the only ones who will gain a hearing in Tel Aviv
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14 Oct 2023 |
Some D buzzwords from the IMF/WB Annual Meetings in Marrakech: deglobalization, derisking, decoupling, dedollarization, demography, debt…
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14 Oct 2023 |
They overlap with my 10 Mega-Threats
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11 Oct 2023 |
All involved in the Israel-Hamas conflict should heed the warnings of 1982
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10 Oct 2023 |
There is a clear and present danger that all his wartime decisions against Hamas will be polluted by personal, legal and petty political…
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10 Oct 2023 |
Netanyahu must go now, not after the Gaza war
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10 Oct 2023 |
He has been a poor prime minister from Lebanon to China
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3 Jan 2023 |
meaning there is a debt trap.
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3 Jan 2023 |
They’re written by their PR or communication departments rather than based on hard choices.
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3 Jan 2023 |
Many young people are a little more engaged than other generations and maybe, once they start to get engaged and vote and be politically…
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3 Jan 2023 |
Today, we have the worst of the 70s in terms of negative supply shocks—Covid-19’s impact on the economy, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine…
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3 Jan 2023 |
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is just a small footnote, frankly.
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3 Jan 2023 |
It’s very costly in the short run to do the stuff that gets you the net zero.
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3 Jan 2023 |
The risk of inflation together with recession—stagflation.
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3 Jan 2023 |
Frankly, most of it is greenwashing and “greenwishing”.
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3 Jan 2023 |
Fine-tuning the balance between the two is an art rather than a science.
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3 Jan 2023 |
Valuation became excessive and that’s why we see the correction of stuff that is more VC-related, especially [those businesses] without any…
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3 Jan 2023 |
The dawn of the zombies is over.
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3 Jan 2023 |
So we tend to kick the can down the road…hoping that either a miracle or technology are going to resolve [them].
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3 Jan 2023 |
This is a policy of outright containment because of course, whoever controls chips will control AI, machine learning, quantum—you name it.
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3 Jan 2023 |
Central banks are damned if you do and damned if you don’t.
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3 Jan 2023 |
All of those net-zero plans are a bit of a joke. They’re not really serious.
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3 Jan 2023 |
There is no simple solution to these threats.
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3 Jan 2023 |
the Schumpeterian principle of creative destruction has to work. If you don’t allow that creative distruction, you have zombie institutions…
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3 Jan 2023 |
To me, to be optimistic means to accept reality and then do something about changing the world for the better in many small and big ways.
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3 Jan 2023 |
Doing it right is complicated.
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3 Jan 2023 |
It’s a race on dominating the world both economically and geopolitically.
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6 Nov 2022 |
Massive technological unemployment is permanent for people, and it’s not their fault.
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6 Nov 2022 |
Gold does well when there is inflation.
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6 Nov 2022 |
Current generations have essentially screwed the young.
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6 Nov 2022 |
I think the debate right now is not soft versus hard landing, but whether there’s going to be just a short and shallow, mild recession or…
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6 Nov 2022 |
There is an intergenerational conflict between the young and the old.
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6 Nov 2022 |
if you raise interest rates, you can also have a crash of equity markets, bond markets, credit markets, and asset prices in general that…
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6 Nov 2022 |
So the least of the problems for the average person is whether the stock market falls by 10%, 20%, or even 50%.
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6 Nov 2022 |
the old vote for policies that help themselves and not future generations.
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6 Nov 2022 |
I mean, it’s a very dystopian world in which people don’t have jobs, they don’t have skills, they don’t have income.
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6 Nov 2022 |
whenever you have negative supply shocks, it becomes very hard to avoid a hard landing, because you have lower growth and higher inflation.
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6 Nov 2022 |
So income-wise, UBI is a solution, but whether it is politically feasible for both those left behind and for the winners is to be seen. I’m…
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6 Nov 2022 |
So we have to worry about this, absolutely, it’s a material risk. Our liberal democracies are at threat.
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6 Nov 2022 |
we’re going to have to tax, progressively, the winners
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28 Oct 2022 |
The high debt ratios also masked the zombie households, zombie corporates, zombie businesses, zombie banks, zombie shadow banks, zombie…
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28 Oct 2022 |
They are significant risks with huge economic, social, political, geopolitical, financial, monetary impact.
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28 Oct 2022 |
Some threats are collective – we can’t do anything about pandemics, rogue AI or war between great nations, but we can do something about…
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28 Oct 2022 |
The dystopia is a situation where civilisation ends through a simultaneous materialisation of all these threats – war, AI, climate change…
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28 Oct 2022 |
We are facing the mother of all debt crises.
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28 Oct 2022 |
Today, we have the worst of the 1970s, with multiple different types of negative supply shocks and not just the obvious ones from Russia…
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28 Oct 2022 |
Today, all these things are real threats for our future and things are starting to look more like the period between 1918-45
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28 Oct 2022 |
I’m obviously worried about major wars among global powers- a nuclear winter could extinguish all but the most remote members of our…
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28 Oct 2022 |
This time, instead, we have to raise interest rates because inflation is high- and rising.
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28 Oct 2022 |
The good news is the new generation of young people – they care about the future, and I hope they care, get organised and do something.
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28 Oct 2022 |
Mega threats are the big, huge, risks that could rapidly change the course of the global economy and the world at large, for example, the…
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28 Oct 2022 |
Another worry is volatility – when volatility gets higher, real rates get higher, and then you have interest rates like you’ve never seen…
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28 Oct 2022 |
They never went bankrupt.
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25 Oct 2022 |
I usually say that I'm Dr. Realist, not Dr. Doom
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25 Oct 2022 |
I think warning about the risk is very important because until now we've been kicking the can down the road.
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30 Sep 2021 |
A Reckoning for the China Dream @ProSyn
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23 Sep 2021 |
@ProSyn series of articles on Stagflation Ahead
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18 Sep 2021 |
but those French subs were obsolete
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18 Sep 2021 |
So time to spend more on EU armies, also to make NATO more credible
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18 Sep 2021 |
without US troops in Europe, European armies would collapse as fast as the Afghan one if the Russians were to attack.
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9 Sep 2021 |
I discuss nine negative supply shocks that could be stagflationary over time reducing growth and causing higher costs and inflation.
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9 Sep 2021 |
Agree with @AndresVelasco on QE long gone usefulness in the US
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4 Sep 2021 |
My latest @ProSyn op-ed on the current rising risks of stagflation
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2 Sep 2021 |
the risk of Stagflation is current, not just over the medium term
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11 Aug 2021 |
NO security in crypto:
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5 Aug 2021 |
Biden has a better handle on economics than Trump – but there are still risks.
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3 Aug 2021 |
US Prez Biden has started a necessary economic-policy regime shift that started chaotically under Trump.
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3 Aug 2021 |
Rising inequality drives this radical change in economic doctrine: help those left behind!
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21 Jul 2021 |
Good reason to wear a mask outdoors even if vaxxed.
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18 Jul 2021 |
Indeed the three city slickers musketeers!
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13 Nov 2020 |
"[Bitcoin is] maybe a partial store of value, because, unlike thousands of other what I call shitcoins, it cannot be so easily debased…
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13 Nov 2020 |
"Once you have a central bank digital currency, every individual can use an account with the central bank to do payments."
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13 Nov 2020 |
"In my view, [bitcoin] is not scalable, is not secure, is not decentralized, is not a currency,
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31 Dec 2019 |
May the new year and decade bring peace to the world, reduce human poverty and suffering, make us all compassionate and caring for others
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30 Dec 2019 |
Shitcoiners have perfected the shitposting art.
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30 Dec 2019 |
Good to be among the Top 10 and in good company
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27 Dec 2019 |
He is the Manchurian Candidate
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13 Dec 2019 |
Every day another crypto fraud or scam
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