Scores by kind of claim
Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.
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Factual claims
Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
72 64 80 -
Predictions
Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
40 27 53
All types combined: 63 (likely 56 to 70, high confidence), from 66 claims: 48 factual claims, 18 predictions. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.
Nouriel Roubini's claims
5 claims
“With the global economy having weathered major trade and energy shocks over the past two years, growth should improve in 2027, and inflation should fall.”
Nouriel Roubini, columnist, Project Syndicate October 2026 Why Is the Global Economy So Resilient? (Project Syndicate)
Global growth should improve in 2027 and inflation should fall, after the economy weathered major trade and energy shocks over the previous two years.
Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.
Reasoning
deadline 2027 is after 2026-11-04
Cite this claim
Nouriel Roubini, “Global growth should improve in 2027 and inflation should fall, after the economy weathered major trade and energy shocks over the previous two years.” (said October 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_e61ca87b48a1, method 0.1.0+c876030c. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e61ca87b48a1
Claims without a verdict
- Unresolvable 75
- Not yet due 5
- Not checkable 148
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