ClaimsPeople

GiveWell

GiveWell is a US-based nonprofit charity evaluator that researches and recommends high-impact giving opportunities, mainly in global health and poverty reduction.

190 claims collected, 76 researched, 23 resolved. Report of 10 October 2026, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d.

Scores by kind of claim

Each kind of claim is scored on its own, out of 100: the share that held up, with the range it likely falls in. Fewer resolved claims give a wider range.

  • Factual claims

    Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

    76 63 88

    Medium confidence, 15 factual claims resolved. From 7 documents, 2010 to 2026; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 13 unresolvable, 25 checkable only against their own records.

    See the factual claims

  • Predictions

    Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

    Insufficient record: 1 prediction resolved, 5 needed for a score.

    Not scored: 5 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records. 2 more fall due later.

    Does not yet allow for how likely each prediction was when made.

    See the predictions

  • Promises

    Commitments to the person's or organisation's own future action, with something to deliver: was it delivered?

    70 52 87

    Low confidence, 7 promises resolved. From 3 documents, 2010 to 2022; 8 documents sampled from 34 candidates found.

    Not scored: 4 unresolvable, 2 checkable only against their own records.

    See the promises

All types combined: 74 (likely 64 to 84, medium confidence), from 22 claims: 15 factual claims, 7 promises. It mixes kinds of claim in different proportions for different people, so compare people kind by kind.

GiveWell's claims

29 claims

29 claims, sorted by newest said. Choose a claim to read it in full.
VerdictKindSaidClaimTopic
Own records only Factual 30 Sep 2026 Over the past two years GiveWell increased its research team from 38 people to 85 and is continuing to hire across the organization. Factual · 30 Sep 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Prediction 31 Aug 2026 GiveWell estimates that programs supported by the funds it directed in 2025 will save an additional 86,000 lives. Prediction · 31 Aug 2026 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Promise 6 Apr 2022 Each contest entry will be reviewed by at least one GiveWell researcher with substantial experience with its cost-effectiveness analyses. Promise · 6 Apr 2022 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell staff may work remotely and GiveWell accommodates flexible work schedules, including flexible hours. Factual · 28 May 2020 Field building and careers
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 Many of GiveWell's successful past hires came through the community of people who engage with its work. Factual · 28 May 2020 Field building and careers
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell's investigation of a potential alcohol policy grant was delayed because the potential grantee shifted its focus to COVID-19 response. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Prediction 28 May 2020 Much of GiveWell's work in 2020 will go forward as anticipated. Prediction · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell made limited progress in 2019 in assessing public health regulation, a relatively new domain for it. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Promise 28 May 2020 After completing its alcohol policy grant investigation, GiveWell will reflect on what it has learned about public health regulation before deciding whether to do additional work in this area. Promise · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 The GiveWell post on 2020 plans does not include a complete accounting of everything GiveWell plans to do in 2020. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell's plans laid out internally at the beginning of 2020 were disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 In early 2020 GiveWell conducted research that led it to prioritize alcohol policy and pesticide suicide prevention and to deprioritize air pollution, tobacco and road safety. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell's marketing team is examining how users engage with the GiveWell website and where they may become confused or misinterpret its work. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell has paused work on public health regulation as of May 2020. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 28 May 2020 GiveWell does not typically focus on high-uncertainty, short-timeline reviews of funding opportunities. Factual · 28 May 2020 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2018 If GiveWell influenced the same proportion of unattributed donations as attributed ones, it would have influenced an additional $20 million not in its headline money moved figure. Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2018 GiveWell's best guess is that it is undercounting money moved by $10-20 million. Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2018 GiveWell estimates about one-third of its 2016 expenses ($2.0 million) supported traditional top charity work and about two-thirds supported the Open Philanthropy Project, the same breakdown as in 2015. Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2018 GiveWell's best guess is that it played a significant role in influencing an additional $10-20 million of donations to AMF, GiveDirectly and SCI in 2016 that are not counted in its headline money moved. Factual · 2018 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 The limited donor growth in 2014 is largely due to many new 2013 donors, particularly those giving under $1,000, not giving again in 2014. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 GiveWell generally averages Google Analytics and Clicky website traffic data. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 GiveWell estimates about half of its 2014 expenses supported its traditional top charity work and about half the Open Philanthropy Project. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 Of the 8,970 donors who gave to GiveWell's recommended charities in 2014, GiveWell knows where 3,558 (about 40%) learned of its work. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 The measured donor retention of about one third may understate true retention because some donors are anonymous or share partial information. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 In 2014 the number of donors giving to GiveWell's recommended charities or GiveWell unrestricted rose 9% to about 9,300. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 GiveWell believes it tracked the majority of donations it influenced in 2014, though the amount of donations it is uncertain about is larger than in past years. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 2015 GiveWell guesses about 50% of the $1.9 million in unattributed 2014 donations to AMF were influenced by GiveWell, and did not include this in money moved. Factual · 2015 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 12 Mar 2013 GiveWell currently collects donation information at the individual level and can follow how donors change their giving over time. Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
Own records only Factual 12 Mar 2013 The GiveWell figure in the comparison chart includes only giving processed through its website, not all money moved, to match the online-giving data available for the others. Factual · 12 Mar 2013 Their own work or organisation
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GiveWell

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Factual Their own work or organisation

“Over the past two years, we’ve increased our research team from 38 people to 85, and we’re continuing to hire across the organization.”

GiveWell, unsigned newsletter 30 September 2026 September 2026 Updates (The GiveWell Blog)

Over the past two years GiveWell increased its research team from 38 people to 85 and is continuing to hire across the organization.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Reasoning

Research team headcounts are internal staff counts only GiveWell keeps.

Cite this claim

GiveWell, “Over the past two years GiveWell increased its research team from 38 people to 85 and is continuing to hire across the organization.” (said 30 September 2026). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_71d86aec2b85, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_71d86aec2b85

Claims without a verdict

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