A first-principles physics analysis suggests that a 5 to 10 fold improvement in automotive production is achievable by version 3 of Tesla's factory machine, on a roughly 2-year iteration cycle.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
Achievability of a 5-10x improvement by a hypothetical version 3 has no defined horizon or measure.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “A first-principles physics analysis suggests that a 5 to 10 fold improvement in automotive production is achievable by version 3 of Tesla's factory machine, on a roughly 2-year iteration cycle.” (said 20 July 2016). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_f44cd75aa0b2, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f44cd75aa0b2
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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