ClaimsJeff Bezos

“Given that last doubling rate, Amazon.com will be able to use 60 times as much bandwidth per customer 5 years from now while holding our bandwidth cost per customer constant.”

Jeff Bezos, CEO, writing in Amazon shareholder letter 2001 To our shareholders: Ouch. It's been a brutal year (2000 letter) (Amazon IR)

Prediction Technology

If the price performance of bandwidth keeps doubling about every 9 months, Amazon.com will be able to use 60 times as much bandwidth per customer in 5 years while keeping its bandwidth cost per customer the same.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Per-customer bandwidth usage and cost are internal figures, though the horizon (2006) has passed.

Cite this claim

Jeff Bezos, “If the price performance of bandwidth keeps doubling about every 9 months, Amazon.com will be able to use 60 times as much bandwidth per customer in 5 years while keeping its bandwidth cost per customer the same.” (said 2001). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_f3110f392b07, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f3110f392b07

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Jeff Bezos, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Jeff Bezos

  1. Mostly true Prediction 2 April 2001
    “There’ll also be more community-type things, where customers help other customers make their purchase decisions.”

    Amazon's site will have more community features where customers help other customers make purchase decisions.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 2 April 2001
    “Some e-commerce businesses will go in 2001, but we’re in this for the long run.”

    Some e-commerce businesses will fail in 2001.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.