ClaimsRay Dalio

“And that problem is going to worsen over time for the United States position because time is on China’s side.”

Ray Dalio, Bridgewater founder, interviewee 25 October 2020 Transcript: Ray Dalio - The Big Picture (Ritholtz) archived copy

Prediction Philosophy, ethics and society

The US position relative to China will worsen over time because time is on China's side.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

Open-ended prediction with no horizon and vague 'worsen over time'.

Cite this claim

Ray Dalio, “The US position relative to China will worsen over time because time is on China's side.” (said 25 October 2020). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_f2340db7f052, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_f2340db7f052

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ray Dalio, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Ray Dalio

  1. Mostly true Prediction 10 June 2025
    “Yeah, we're going to have about a 7% deficit as a percentage of GDP.”

    If current congressional plans go forward, the US federal deficit will be about 7% of GDP.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 25 October 2020
    “Over the next five years, you’re going to see a lot of decoupling.”

    There will be a lot of US-China decoupling over the five years following October 2020.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 16 August 2019
    “I think you will see greater interest rate cuts as you start to see the world economy starting to slow down.”

    Greater interest rate cuts will occur as the world economy slows.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 16 August 2019
    “In an evolutionary way, over the next one, two and three years, there will be a turn for the worse, yes.”

    Economic conditions will take a turn for the worse over the next one to three years from August 2019.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 16 August 2019
    “I think that in the next two years, let's say prior to the next election, there's probably a 40 percent chance of a recession.”

    Dalio said he thought there was probably a 40 percent chance of a US recession in the next two years, before the next US election.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.