ClaimsNouriel Roubini

“Over time negative supply shocks could turn today’s mild stagflation into a severe one.”

Nouriel Roubini, summarising his own column 21 September 2021 Post by @Nouriel on X, 2021-09-21 (X)

Prediction Economics and markets

Over time, negative supply shocks could turn mild stagflation into severe stagflation.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

'Could' and 'over time' give no horizon, and the claim is hedged.

Cite this claim

Nouriel Roubini, “Over time, negative supply shocks could turn mild stagflation into severe stagflation.” (said 21 September 2021). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_e7aeb20368b4, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_e7aeb20368b4

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Nouriel Roubini, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Nouriel Roubini

  1. Mostly false Prediction 27 October 2023
    “As I predicted in early September in an interview with Bloomberg”

    US stocks could see a 10% correction (predicted in a Bloomberg interview in early September 2023).

  2. Mostly false Prediction 3 January 2023
    “They are talking tough [but if] faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, they’re going to wimp out.”

    Faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, central banks will back down from tough talk and not raise rates further.

  3. Resolved false Prediction 6 November 2022
    “So it’s much worse than the ‘70s, and it’s probably as bad as during the GFC.”

    The coming stagflationary debt crisis will be much worse than the 1970s and probably as bad as the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

  4. Resolved false Prediction 6 November 2022
    “So history suggests it’s going to be near mission impossible to avoid a hard landing.”

    History suggests it will be nearly impossible for the Fed to avoid a hard landing in the US economy.

  5. Resolved false Prediction 6 November 2022
    “I’ve made the argument, and this is not the conventional wisdom, that the recession is not going to be short and shallow”

    The coming US recession will not be short and shallow.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.