ClaimsØrsted

“We still expect a 50% farm-down of Hornsea 1, either in H2 2018 or in 2019.”

Ørsted February 2018 Annual report 2017 - Strong results support Ørsted's green transformation (Ørsted) archived copy

Prediction Their own work or organisation

Ørsted expects to farm down 50% of Hornsea 1 either in H2 2018 or in 2019.

Resolved true The record shows it happened or was so.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

What would count as true or false

True: Ørsted signed or completed a divestment of a 50% ownership stake in the Hornsea 1 (Hornsea Project One) offshore wind farm to a third party between 1 July 2018 and 31 December 2019. Signing a binding divestment agreement within the window counts even if closing came later. Mostly true: a 50% farm-down was agreed within the window with only a minor difference in detail, such as timing within 2018 or the deal structure. Mostly false: a farm-down was agreed only before H2 2018 or after 2019, or the stake sold differed materially from 50%. False: positive evidence shows that no Hornsea 1 stake was divested by the end of 2019, for example a 2019 annual report listing Ørsted's ownership at 100% or a report that the sale was cancelled or postponed.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (2)

  1. E1 Ørsted Wraps Up Hornsea One Divestment offshorewind.biz · 27 November 2018

    “Ørsted has completed the divestment of 50% of the Hornsea Project One offshore wind farm in the UK to Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP).”
  2. E2 Ørsted Wraps Up Hornsea One Divestment offshorewind.biz · 27 November 2018

    “Ørsted signed an agreement in September to sell half of the 1.2GW project, under which it will construct the wind farm under a full-scope EPC contract, provide long-term O&M services and provide a route to market for the generated power.”

Reasoning

An independent trade publication reports that Ørsted signed an agreement in September 2018 to sell half of Hornsea Project One to Global Infrastructure Partners (E2). The same report says the 50% divestment was completed in November 2018 (E1). Both dates fall within the H2 2018 to 2019 window, and the stake was exactly 50%, which meets the true criterion.

Cite this claim

Ørsted, “Ørsted expects to farm down 50% of Hornsea 1 either in H2 2018 or in 2019.” (said February 2018). Verdict: resolved true. Reliability API, claim c_dbc5791650e1, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_dbc5791650e1

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ørsted, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Ørsted

  1. Resolved false Prediction February 2018
    “Gross investments for 2018 are expected to amount to DKK 16-18 billion, reflecting a high level of activity related to our offshore wind farm projects, the biomass conversion of Asnæs Power Station…”

    Ørsted expects gross investments in 2018 of DKK 16-18 billion, covering offshore wind projects, the Asnæs Power Station biomass conversion and smart meter installation.

  2. Resolved false Prediction February 2018
    “EBITDA (business performance) excluding new partnership agreements is expected to be DKK 12-13 billion in 2018 compared with DKK 12.7 billion in 2017.”

    Ørsted expects 2018 EBITDA (business performance) excluding new partnership agreements of DKK 12-13 billion, compared with DKK 12.7 billion in 2017.

  3. Resolved false Prediction 2017
    “The plant is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017.”

    DONG Energy's REnescience waste treatment plant in Northwich is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017.

  4. Mostly true Prediction 2017
    “With capacity of 1.2GW, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and our biggest investment ever.”

    With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever.

  5. Mostly false Prediction February 2014
    “Net investments for 2014-2015 are expected to be around DKK 30 billion.”

    DONG Energy expects net investments for 2014-2015 to be around DKK 30 billion.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.