ClaimsNouriel Roubini

“It occurred first of all after the stock market crash in 1987, when the Fed aggressively eased and gave the impression that when things go wrong and there is a bubble, the Fed is going to come to the rescue”

Nouriel Roubini, professor, Stern School of Business 2009 The housing crash and the man who saw it coming (OpenLearn)

Factual Economics and markets

After the 1987 stock market crash the Fed eased aggressively, giving the impression it would rescue markets, leading to talk of a 'Greenspan put'.

Mostly true True in substance, wrong in a detail.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

What would count as true or false

True: after the October 1987 stock-market crash, the Federal Reserve under Greenspan visibly eased policy (announcing that it stood ready to provide liquidity, cutting the federal funds rate or other easing), and this episode is widely cited as the start of the market belief in a Fed backstop known as the 'Greenspan put'. Mostly true: the easing and liquidity support happened and the 1987 episode is cited as an origin of the 'Greenspan put' idea, but the easing was modest rather than 'aggressive', or the term itself came into use only later. Mixed: the Fed provided liquidity but did not materially ease rates, and sources dispute that 1987 began the 'put' perception. Mostly false: the 'Greenspan put' perception is generally traced to later episodes, with the 1987 response playing only a minor role. False: the Fed did not ease after the 1987 crash.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (3)

  1. E1 The Fed, the Stock Market, and the "Greenspan Put" Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (Econ Focus) · 8 March 2023

    “The October 1987 intervention became the first part of the Greenspan put lore. Yet to some analysts, the Fed's actions on that occasion hardly amounted to a put option.”
  2. E2 A Brief History of the 1987 Stock Market Crash with a Discussion of the Federal Reserve Response Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (FEDS working paper) · 1 May 2007

    “The Federal Reserve followed-up the statement by carrying out open market operations that pushed the federal funds rate down to around 7 percent on Tuesday from over 7.5 percent on Monday (see Figure 5).”
  3. E3 The Fed, the Stock Market, and the "Greenspan Put" Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (Econ Focus) · 8 March 2023

    “A third episode in the lore took place when the Fed cut short-term interest rates amid declining equity prices in January 2001. (This was the episode that prompted the Financial Times to declare that there's "a Greenspan put option.")”

Reasoning

A Federal Reserve Board history (E2) shows the Fed followed its post-crash statement with open market operations that pushed the federal funds rate from over 7.5 percent to around 7 percent, so the Fed did ease. The Richmond Fed (E1) calls the October 1987 intervention "the first part of the Greenspan put lore," though it notes some analysts doubt the actions amounted to a put. E4 says the January 2001 rate cuts were the episode that prompted the Financial Times to declare there was 'a Greenspan put option'. That fits the mostly-true criterion: the easing [E2] and the origin story [E1] hold, though some analysts doubt that the 1987 actions amounted to a put option [E1].

Cite this claim

Nouriel Roubini, “After the 1987 stock market crash the Fed eased aggressively, giving the impression it would rescue markets, leading to talk of a 'Greenspan put'.” (said 2009). Verdict: mostly true. Reliability API, claim c_d676f6fd7f79, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d676f6fd7f79

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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All of them

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