ClaimsNouriel Roubini

“As soon as inflation gets de-anchored, it can go from 2+ to 4+ or even 5+.”

Nouriel Roubini, interviewee 28 October 2022 Nouriel Roubini on the Ten Megathreats Facing the World (Thought Economics) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

If inflation gets de-anchored, it can rise from around 2% to 4% or even 5% or more.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

The conditional claim about de-anchored inflation has no horizon and no condition that can be checked.

Cite this claim

Nouriel Roubini, “If inflation gets de-anchored, it can rise from around 2% to 4% or even 5% or more.” (said 28 October 2022). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_d09bffeb6b06, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_d09bffeb6b06

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Nouriel Roubini

  1. Mostly false Prediction 27 October 2023
    “As I predicted in early September in an interview with Bloomberg”

    US stocks could see a 10% correction (predicted in a Bloomberg interview in early September 2023).

  2. Mostly false Prediction 3 January 2023
    “They are talking tough [but if] faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, they’re going to wimp out.”

    Faced with a debt crisis and an economic crisis, central banks will back down from tough talk and not raise rates further.

  3. Resolved false Prediction 6 November 2022
    “So it’s much worse than the ‘70s, and it’s probably as bad as during the GFC.”

    The coming stagflationary debt crisis will be much worse than the 1970s and probably as bad as the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

  4. Resolved false Prediction 6 November 2022
    “So history suggests it’s going to be near mission impossible to avoid a hard landing.”

    History suggests it will be nearly impossible for the Fed to avoid a hard landing in the US economy.

  5. Resolved false Prediction 6 November 2022
    “I’ve made the argument, and this is not the conventional wisdom, that the recession is not going to be short and shallow”

    The coming US recession will not be short and shallow.

All of them

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