Starship will make life as we know it multiplanetary for the first time in Earth's roughly 4.5 billion year existence.
Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Reasoning
Prediction with no horizon that has not clearly happened.
Cite this claim
Elon Musk, “Starship will make life as we know it multiplanetary for the first time in Earth's roughly 4.5 billion year existence.” (said 30 December 2023). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_c777a7a72b71, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c777a7a72b71
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More prediction claims by Elon Musk
-
Mostly false
“AfD is going to win an epic victory!”
The AfD party will win a big victory in Germany's upcoming election.
-
Mostly false
“for 2023, Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to the bottom line, but it will be next year.”
Cybertruck will not be a significant contributor to Tesla's bottom line in 2023 but will be in 2024.
-
Mostly false
“Hardware 3 will not be as good as Hardware 4, but I'm confident that Hardware 3 will so far exceed the average -- the safety of the average human.”
-
Mostly true
“if it's a smooth year, actually, without some big supply chain interruption or massive problem, we actually have the potential to do 2 million cars this year.”
-
Mostly true
“So we think demand will be good despite probably a contraction in the automotive market as a whole.”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.