He said he does not expect advances in genetics by 2028 to yield anything more interesting than one or two last-ditch treatments for rare diseases, "if that".
Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.
Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?
Reasoning
deadline 2028 is after 2026-11-04
Cite this claim
Scott Alexander, “He said he does not expect advances in genetics by 2028 to yield anything more interesting than one or two last-ditch treatments for rare diseases, "if that".” (said 20 February 2023). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_c4b600c25902, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_c4b600c25902
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
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Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.