ClaimsNassim Taleb

“are largely ignorant about the remaining properties of the probability distributions”

Nassim Taleb, paper author (abstract) 24 December 2014 Tail Risk Constraints and Maximum Entropy (arXiv)

Factual Economics and markets

Risk-taking agents building portfolios under tail constraints are largely ignorant about the remaining properties of the return probability distributions.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Reasoning

Claim about agents' ignorance is a vague generalization about inner knowledge, not testable.

Cite this claim

Nassim Taleb, “Risk-taking agents building portfolios under tail constraints are largely ignorant about the remaining properties of the return probability distributions.” (said 24 December 2014). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_bc014a68dd41, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_bc014a68dd41

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More factual claims by Nassim Taleb

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All of them

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