ClaimsRay Dalio

“I'm expecting a slow squeeze, there's going to be an increasing squeeze.”

Ray Dalio, Bridgewater founder, interviewee 12 September 2017 CNBC: Andrew Ross Sorkin Interviews Raymond Dalio (CNBC) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Dalio expects a slow, increasing squeeze, while saying that current cash flows can support debts for the time being.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

A vague prediction of a slow squeeze with no horizon or measurable threshold.

Cite this claim

Ray Dalio, “Dalio expects a slow, increasing squeeze, while saying that current cash flows can support debts for the time being.” (said 12 September 2017). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b79173610ead, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b79173610ead

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

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More prediction claims by Ray Dalio

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    If current congressional plans go forward, the US federal deficit will be about 7% of GDP.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 25 October 2020
    “Over the next five years, you’re going to see a lot of decoupling.”

    There will be a lot of US-China decoupling over the five years following October 2020.

  3. Mostly true Prediction 16 August 2019
    “I think you will see greater interest rate cuts as you start to see the world economy starting to slow down.”

    Greater interest rate cuts will occur as the world economy slows.

  4. Resolved true Prediction 16 August 2019
    “In an evolutionary way, over the next one, two and three years, there will be a turn for the worse, yes.”

    Economic conditions will take a turn for the worse over the next one to three years from August 2019.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 16 August 2019
    “I think that in the next two years, let's say prior to the next election, there's probably a 40 percent chance of a recession.”

    Dalio said he thought there was probably a 40 percent chance of a US recession in the next two years, before the next US election.

All of them

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