ClaimsJeff Bezos

“We still believe that some 15% of retail commerce may ultimately move online.”

Jeff Bezos, CEO, writing in Amazon shareholder letter 2001 To our shareholders: Ouch. It's been a brutal year (2000 letter) (Amazon IR)

Prediction Economics and markets

Jeff Bezos said that "we", in context Amazon.com, still believed that some 15% of retail commerce may ultimately move online.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

'May ultimately' has no horizon and is hedged, so it can't be tested.

Cite this claim

Jeff Bezos, “Jeff Bezos said that "we", in context Amazon.com, still believed that some 15% of retail commerce may ultimately move online.” (said 2001). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_b2fdb6ba62d5, method 0.1.0+c876030c, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_b2fdb6ba62d5

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Jeff Bezos, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Jeff Bezos

  1. Resolved true Prediction 2 April 2001
    “Some e-commerce businesses will go in 2001, but we’re in this for the long run.”

    Some e-commerce businesses will fail in 2001.

  2. Mostly true Prediction 2 April 2001
    “There’ll also be more community-type things, where customers help other customers make their purchase decisions.”

    Amazon's site will have more community features where customers help other customers make purchase decisions.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.