ClaimsJeremy Grantham

“not one of these potential experts came within one billionth of 1% of the actual number”

Jeremy Grantham, GMO letter author April 2011 GMO Quarterly Letter April 2011: Time to Wake Up (GMO) archived copy

Factual Economics and markets

None of these potential experts came within one billionth of 1% of the actual number, which is approximately 10^57.

Own records only Only the person's or their organisation's own records speak to it, so it is not scored.

Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

What these potential experts guessed is known only from the subject's own account and could not be checked independently.

Cite this claim

Jeremy Grantham, “None of these potential experts came within one billionth of 1% of the actual number, which is approximately 10^57.” (said April 2011). Verdict: own records only. Reliability API, claim c_a555bad5a692, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_a555bad5a692

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Jeremy Grantham, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

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  5. Mixed Factual January 2023
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All of them

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