ClaimsWarren Buffett

“I believe that over any extended period of time this category of investing will prove to be the runaway winner among the three we’ve examined.”

Warren Buffett, Berkshire chairman, writing shareholder letter 9 February 2012 Warren Buffett: Why stocks beat gold and bonds (Fortune) archived copy

Prediction Economics and markets

Buffett said he believes that over any extended period, investing in businesses, whether owned in their entirety or through sizable holdings of marketable stocks, will prove to be the runaway winner among the three investment categories he examined.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.

Reasoning

Prediction about 'any extended period' has no defined horizon.

Cite this claim

Warren Buffett, “Buffett said he believes that over any extended period, investing in businesses, whether owned in their entirety or through sizable holdings of marketable stocks, will prove to be the runaway winner among the three investment categories he examined.” (said 9 February 2012). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_a2174e72decb, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_a2174e72decb

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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More prediction claims by Warren Buffett

  1. Mostly true Prediction 27 February 2017
    “And I think they will end up going for something not as dramatic as they might even like to do because they simply don't want to spend the time and the political capital getting it done.”

    Buffett said he thinks those in control will end up going for a less dramatic tax change than they might like, because they don't want to spend the time and political capital getting it done.

  2. Resolved true Prediction 23 September 2010
    “we will get out of it.”

    The US economy will eventually get out of the recession, though not for a while.

  3. Resolved true Prediction 23 September 2010
    “I don’t think they’ll end up being passed for no one.”

    Buffett said he did not think the expiring tax cuts would end up being extended for no one, i.e. he expected some to be extended.

  4. Mostly true Prediction 2007
    “Nevertheless, this operation faces unrelenting pressures that will cause profit margins to slide.”

    Unrelenting pressures will cause the Buffalo News's profit margins to slide.

  5. Resolved true Prediction 2007
    “A decade from now, HomeServices will almost certainly be much larger.”

    HomeServices will almost certainly be much larger a decade from 2007.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.