Statistically, the level of recent commodity price rises makes it extremely unlikely that the old declining price trend is still in place.
Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
Said for an organisation they lead or work for; it counts on both records.
Cite this claim
Jeremy Grantham, “Statistically, the level of recent commodity price rises makes it extremely unlikely that the old declining price trend is still in place.” (said April 2011). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_8b7f28d8a7b6, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_8b7f28d8a7b6
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
Reply to this claim
More factual claims by Jeremy Grantham
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Mostly false
“the lowest rates in the history of man,”
Bonds currently offer the lowest interest rates in human history.
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Mostly true
“31 years later, the land is not back, and stocks are not back.”
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Mostly true
“one of the two or three lowest relative points in history”
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Mostly true
“Now we have, since ChatGPT and October and November last year, we have a new little flurry of interest that is very concentrated.”
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Mixed
“in 1974 the market did turn up, after a horrific 62% real decline in two years, exactly”
Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.