ClaimsØrsted

“In Taiwan, the commissioning of the offshore wind farms Greater Changhua 2b and 4 remains on track towards the third quarter of 2026.”

Ørsted 6 May 2026 Ørsted delivers progress and strong operational performance (Ørsted) archived copy

Prediction Their own work or organisation

Commissioning of Greater Changhua 2b and 4 offshore wind farms in Taiwan remains on track for the third quarter of 2026.

Unresolvable The public record could not settle it.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

What would count as true or false

True if both Greater Changhua 2b and Greater Changhua 4 reached commissioning (full commercial operation / commissioning as defined by Ørsted, verified by a dated company or third-party report of actual completion, not merely a statement of being on track) between 2026-07-01 and 2026-09-30. Mostly false if only one was commissioned by 2026-09-30, or if both were commissioned only after Q3 2026. False if, per a dated report after 2026-09-30 (e.g. Q3 2026 interim report), neither was commissioned by end of Q3 2026 or commissioning was delayed/postponed. Commissioning earlier than Q3 2026 counts as true.

Set before the research began.

Evidence (4)

  1. E1 Ørsted completes construction of 920 MW offshore wind parks in Taiwan Enerdata · 2 September 2026

    “The company expects Greater Changhua 2b (337 MW) and 4 (583 MW) to achieve full commercial operation in late September 2026, subject to the completion of the remaining commissioning activities and fulfilment of customary contractual and regulatory requirements.”

  2. E2 Three Ørsted Offshore Wind Farms Set for Full Commissioning in 2026 offshoreWIND.biz · 20 August 2026

    “In Taiwan, Greater Changhua 2b and 4 is approximately 85 per cent complete and remains on track for full commissioning in the third quarter of this year.”

  3. E3 Greater Changhua 4 Turbine Taken Offline After Fire, Ørsted Says offshoreWIND.biz · 24 August 2026

    “The affected turbine was taken out of service and disconnected from the transmission system as part of the safety measures implemented following the incident.”

  4. E4 Ørsted completes construction of 920 MW offshore wind parks in Taiwan Enerdata · 2 September 2026

    “Ørsted has completed construction of the 920 MW Greater Changhua 2b and 4 offshore wind parks in Taiwan, with the project now moving into its final commissioning phase (Ørsted press release, 01/09/2026).”

Reasoning

By 1 September 2026, construction of Greater Changhua 2b and 4 was reported complete and the projects had entered final commissioning (E4). Full commercial operation was still only expected in late September 2026, subject to remaining activities and regulatory requirements (E1). Earlier reporting described the projects as on track for Q3 (E2), and a turbine fire at Greater Changhua 4 posed a possible risk without any stated delay (E3). None of the evidence confirms actual commissioning of either project by 2026-09-30, and none reports a delay, so the criteria cannot be resolved.

Cite this claim

Ørsted, “Commissioning of Greater Changhua 2b and 4 offshore wind farms in Taiwan remains on track for the third quarter of 2026.” (said 6 May 2026). Verdict: unresolvable. Reliability API, claim c_5507a994f3f1, method 0.1.0+7831dd9d, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_5507a994f3f1

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

For Ørsted, or someone speaking for them: a correction or counter-evidence. Replies are read before anything is shown; an approved reply shows your name, role, date, statement and link. Your email address is never shown and is deleted 30 days after the decision (privacy).

More prediction claims by Ørsted

  1. Resolved false Prediction February 2018
    “Gross investments for 2018 are expected to amount to DKK 16-18 billion, reflecting a high level of activity related to our offshore wind farm projects, the biomass conversion of Asnæs Power Station…”

    Ørsted expects gross investments in 2018 of DKK 16-18 billion, covering offshore wind projects, the Asnæs Power Station biomass conversion and smart meter installation.

  2. Resolved false Prediction February 2018
    “EBITDA (business performance) excluding new partnership agreements is expected to be DKK 12-13 billion in 2018 compared with DKK 12.7 billion in 2017.”

    Ørsted expects 2018 EBITDA (business performance) excluding new partnership agreements of DKK 12-13 billion, compared with DKK 12.7 billion in 2017.

  3. Resolved true Prediction February 2018
    “We still expect a 50% farm-down of Hornsea 1, either in H2 2018 or in 2019.”

    Ørsted expects to farm down 50% of Hornsea 1 either in H2 2018 or in 2019.

  4. Resolved false Prediction 2017
    “The plant is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017.”

    DONG Energy's REnescience waste treatment plant in Northwich is expected to be commissioned in the first half of 2017.

  5. Mostly true Prediction 2017
    “With capacity of 1.2GW, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and our biggest investment ever.”

    With 1.2GW capacity, Hornsea 1 will be the world's largest offshore wind farm when commissioned in 2020, and DONG Energy's biggest investment ever.

All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.