Scott Alexander said he thought Metaculus's timeline forecast was around 2050 in 2020.
Not researched Checkable, but outside the sample that was researched.
Factual: Statements about the present or the past, checked against the record: did they hold up?
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Scott Alexander, “Scott Alexander said he thought Metaculus's timeline forecast was around 2050 in 2020.” (said 3 April 2025). Verdict: not researched. Reliability API, claim c_0aa2d228c2bc, method 0.1.0+8bea457b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0aa2d228c2bc
This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.
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