ClaimsNate Silver

“We’re almost certain to see similar splits in 2026, even as crossing the party line becomes rarer on average.”

Nate Silver, author, Silver Bulletin 23 October 2026 Do these Senate-governor splits make sense? (Silver Bulletin) archived copy

Prediction AI policy and governance

The 2026 elections will almost certainly include states with Senate and gubernatorial results splitting by party, similar to Vermont and Kansas in 2022.

Not yet due The date it refers to has not come.

Prediction: Statements about events outside the person's control, checked once they fell due: did they come true?

Reasoning

deadline 2026 is after 2026-11-04

Cite this claim

Nate Silver, “The 2026 elections will almost certainly include states with Senate and gubernatorial results splitting by party, similar to Vermont and Kansas in 2022.” (said 23 October 2026). Verdict: not yet due. Reliability API, claim c_0a40202ed4a0, method 0.1.0+28da144b, dataset release v1.1.2. https://epistacklabs.com/claims/c_0a40202ed4a0

This claim is in dataset release v1.1.2, with the same verdict.

Reply to this claim

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All of them

Verdicts are made automatically; how verdicts are made.